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Napster/OpenAI logos
(Bronson Stamp for Sherwood Media)

OpenAI is Napster

A tech breakthrough that lawsuits might break.

Jamie Wilde

Gone are the good old days of infecting your computer with a virus to download a free System of a Down MP3. Napster hit its popularity peak in 2001, just two years after launching its online peer-to-peer song-sharing platform, which eventually ended the era of $20 CDs.

Napster invented a new way of sharing and listening to music that transformed the industry, but it ultimately went bankrupt after being buried under a pile of copyright-infringement lawsuits. It turned out that the music industry didn’t want to give its work away. Shortly after, other companies rose to capitalize on the tech Napster invented. 

Now, a quarter-century after Napster first hit the internet, OpenAI could face a similar fate as lawsuits stack up against the generative-AI pioneer.

Napster amassed as many as 80 million users in under two years. And despite not making any money, and not announcing any plans on how it could, it secured $17 million in venture-capital funding. 

OpenAI’s operating on a much larger scale, because it’s way more expensive to build and run artificial intelligence that can create a Wes Anderson-style film than a network that can send an MP3 of “No Scrubs.” Microsoft alone has invested more than $13 billion in the AI company that said its ChatGPT had 200 million weekly active users as of August. It does have a path to profit, though, as 10 million of its subscribers pay $20 a month for pro features, and it has 1 million enterprise customers.

OpenAI and Napster have both been at the center of some of the biggest tech conversations of their times. Like OpenAI, Napster attracted as much scrutiny as it did hype: in the same year it launched, a trade org repping 18 recording companies sued the platform, seeking $100,000 per copyrighted song shared, totaling about $100 million.

Then came Metallica vs. Napster: the heavy-metal band filed a copyright suit in 2000, and Dr. Dre followed up with his own. Artists alleged Napster not only violated existing copyrights but let fans leak unreleased music to the public early. 

Eminem had to release “The Real Slim Shady” early after it went viral on Napster. In a recent docuseries, he said: “Here’s what you don’t understand. If music should be free, I have an engineer to pay.” But others took Napster’s side: Mötley Crüe’s bassist argued that bands made enough money off concerts and merch to simply skip song sales.

Fast forward to today, and writers and artists are having a similar argument over whether OpenAI is a creative tool or a sledgehammer smashing through their life’s work. Best-selling authors — including Ta-Nehisi Coates, Jodi Picoult, and George R.R. Martin — last year sued the AI maker, alleging it plagiarized their copyrighted works to train its models. Outlets like The New York Times, The Centre for Investigative Journalism, and The Intercept are among those who’ve made similar accusations in separate lawsuits

In one of OpenAI’s ongoing suits, authors are seeking $150,000 for each infringed work. OpenAI is already burning through billions a year, and settling suits would make its bills even less manageable. 

When Napster settled its suits for $26 million, its VC-padded coffers were emptied and it could no longer pay its employees. The company shut down its platform and declared bankruptcy at just three years old. 

Napster relaunched with changes that made it legal, but it reemerged into a house of mirrors, where copycats like LimeWire had stolen its limelight. Eventually, streamers like Spotify and Apple Music figured out how to turn Napster’s idea into a profitable music-streaming business.

Napster relaunched yet again in 2023 as a Web3 music company, but it’s smaller than a guppy compared to its competitors. Meanwhile, the music business still hasn’t figured out a model for paying labels and artists that makes everyone happy (see: Taylor Swift’s ongoing feud), which could portend a long journey for creatives contending with AI. 

If OpenAI is crushed in courts and can’t find a way to make its services both legally compliant and profitable, it could be the next Napster. And as Napster’s story showed, losing time and money to legal squabbles can be a turning point that puts a novel company behind its competition.

Read the other arguments for OpenAI's future here.

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Jon Keegan

Google’s Gemini 3.0 reportedly due to be released in December

Google is aiming to release the latest version of its flagship AI model, Gemini 3.0, in December, according to a report from Sources.news.

The updated model is expected to make significant gains that should boost it to the top of the leaderboards, according to the report.

The Gemini app also spent some time at the top of the iOS App Store leaderboards, propelled by Google’s Nano Banana image generation model, which proved popular with users looking to turn themselves into action figures. Gemini briefly knocked ChatGPT from the top spot, which is now occupied by OpenAI’s other hot app, Sora.

Recently, there have been signs of ChatGPT downloads slowing, which could provide an opening for Gemini to gain market share. Adding some premium Gemini features to the free tier is a plan under discussion within Google, per Sources.news.

Sources.news also reports that a “small, secretive team” inside Google is working to integrate Gemini into Apple’s operating systems.

The Gemini app also spent some time at the top of the iOS App Store leaderboards, propelled by Google’s Nano Banana image generation model, which proved popular with users looking to turn themselves into action figures. Gemini briefly knocked ChatGPT from the top spot, which is now occupied by OpenAI’s other hot app, Sora.

Recently, there have been signs of ChatGPT downloads slowing, which could provide an opening for Gemini to gain market share. Adding some premium Gemini features to the free tier is a plan under discussion within Google, per Sources.news.

Sources.news also reports that a “small, secretive team” inside Google is working to integrate Gemini into Apple’s operating systems.

tech
Jon Keegan

Meta strikes $30 billion deal with Blue Owl to finance Hyperion data center

Meta’s Hyperion mega data center site in Richland Parish, Louisiana, is currently under construction. The city-sized development will be the home to one of the largest data centers in the world, housing around 2 million pricey GPUs, and will scale up to an eventual 5.5 gigawatts.

So, how is Meta planning to pay for this expensive project?

Bloomberg reports that Meta has signed a deal with asset management company Blue Owl Capital to finance $30 billion to pay for the project, marking what could be the largest private capital deal ever.

According to the report, Blue Owl and Meta would co-own the site, with Meta retaining a 20% stake in the project. PIMCO is also part of the financing for the deal, as the anchor lender.

Raising the massive capital to fund all of these huge AI data center projects is pushing companies to use unusual financing arrangements. The Information reported that xAI made such a deal with Valor Equity Partners worth $20 billion to rent the GPUs needed for its Colossus 2 data center.

Bloomberg reports that Meta has signed a deal with asset management company Blue Owl Capital to finance $30 billion to pay for the project, marking what could be the largest private capital deal ever.

According to the report, Blue Owl and Meta would co-own the site, with Meta retaining a 20% stake in the project. PIMCO is also part of the financing for the deal, as the anchor lender.

Raising the massive capital to fund all of these huge AI data center projects is pushing companies to use unusual financing arrangements. The Information reported that xAI made such a deal with Valor Equity Partners worth $20 billion to rent the GPUs needed for its Colossus 2 data center.

tech
Rani Molla

EssilorLuxottica surges to record high after saying Ray-Ban Meta glasses helped boost revenue growth

European eyewear company EssilorLuxottica said during its earnings call yesterday that its Ray-Ban Meta glasses helped boost its revenue growth, something that’s sent the ADR up to a record high.

“Clearly, there is a lift coming from Ray-Ban Meta wearables as a product category,” the company’s CFO, Stefano Grassi, said on the call Thursday. “The contribution from Ray-Ban Meta in wearables, as I mentioned before, is in excess of 4 percentage points overall for the group.”

EssilorLuxottica’s revenue was up 11.7% in the third quarter compared with a year ago.

Meta has a nearly 3% stake in the eyewear company, which it has partnered with on the smart glasses. Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg has also claimed that its Ray-Ban Metas are a hit, saying that the “sales trajectory that we’ve seen is similar to some of the most popular consumer electronics of all time.” We looked at the numbers and aren’t so sure.

44%

JPMorgan economists estimate that the basket of stocks they use as a rough gauge of AI’s market impact is now worth about 44% of the S&P 500’s total market cap, up from 26% in 2022.

Using a basket of 30 AI stocks picked by the bank’s equity analysts as a barometer of AI, the economists find that American households have seen their aggregate wealth go up by about $5 trillion over the last year as a result of AI, they reported in a note published Thursday.

They also estimate the surge in stock market wealth could raise annualized US consumer spending by some $180 billion, due to wealth effects.

JPM acknowledges some uncertainty around this estimate, noting that the spending impact could be lower “if the wealth gains are accruing disproportionately to upper income households with lower [marginal propensity to spend].”

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