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Tesla just had its best month since the election

The stock is riding high on analyst upgrades and big expected third-quarter sales.

Rani Molla
Updated 9/30/25 4:25PM

November 2024 was a great month for Tesla. Its CEO threw his chips in for the winning presidential candidate, who was expected to slash federal red tape for Tesla’s white whale: self-driving cars.

September 2025 was nearly as good — at least in terms of the stock price’s increase from the month before.

Tesla closed at $444, 34% higher than it ended August. Tesla ended last November 38% higher than the month before, at $345. The company’s shares then hit an all-time high in December 2024 before a combination of falling sales and a fallout with President Trump, among other headwinds, sent the stock down. Tesla only went positive for the year earlier this month.

Lately, Tesla has been riding high on a series of analyst upgrades touting the company’s AI and autonomous ambitions. Last week, Wedbush Securities analyst Dan Ives raised his price target for Tesla to a Wall Street high of $600, forecasting a $1 trillion “AI and autonomous opportunity.”

The company is also, for the first time in a while, selling a lot of regular vehicles, which make up the lion’s share of its existing revenue. That part is a bit bittersweet, since the reason for the rise ends tomorrow. Electric vehicles in general are flying off lots in the US, with record sales expected this quarter as would-be buyers pull forward purchases to take advantage of the $7,500 federal tax credits, which end tomorrow. Of course, that suggests sales will fall off in subsequent quarters. Still, it’s good news now for Tesla, which some analysts predict will have a record quarter that could push the stock even higher.

We’ll know for sure later this week, when Tesla discloses third-quarter delivery numbers.

Update (September 30, 4:00 p.m. ET): Piece has been updated to confirm Tesla did notch its best month since November 2024.

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Tesla is back in the negative this year

After falling more than 6% yesterday in its biggest drop since July, Tesla is once again in negative territory for the year. Elon Musk’s company posted record earnings last month, buoyed by pulled-forward demand tied to the final quarter of US federal EV tax credits, but its margins slipped as steep discounts were used to clear inventory.

Now the stock, which only turned positive for the year in September, is under renewed pressure amid a broader tech and AI sell-off, as investors grow concerned that the Federal Reserve may pause its rate-cutting cycle. Adding to the drag are soft sales in Tesla’s second-largest market, China, and news that longtime bull Cathie Wood’s Ark Invest unloaded roughly $30 million in shares this week.

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Meta overhauls Marketplace with AI insights and collaborative shopping

Meta announced Thursday that it’s giving its buy-and-sell platform, Marketplace — arguably the best part of Facebook and the most appealing to young people — a “glow up.” Each day in the US and Canada, one out of four Facebook daily active young adult users go to Marketplace, according to Meta. The overhaul includes the ability to create collections of listings you can share with friends or the public.

The site will also offer AI suggestions on what to ask sellers about your potential purchase. Unfortunately for all involved, the much-hated, easy-to-accidentally-press default message to sellers — “Hi, is this available” — remains unchanged.

Most promising, to us, for comedic purposes: “You can now react and comment directly on Marketplace listings, helping others learn about item quality and discover unique finds.”

The site will also offer AI suggestions on what to ask sellers about your potential purchase. Unfortunately for all involved, the much-hated, easy-to-accidentally-press default message to sellers — “Hi, is this available” — remains unchanged.

Most promising, to us, for comedic purposes: “You can now react and comment directly on Marketplace listings, helping others learn about item quality and discover unique finds.”

$15B
Rani Molla

Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s other company, xAI, has raised $15 billion in its latest funding round, CNBC reports. That’s $5 billion more than the company had raised in that same round in September. Its valuation remains at a sky-high $200 billion.

Tesla shareholders recently voted to invest in xAI but, due to a large number of abstentions, the board has yet to approve the proposal.

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Rani Molla

Microsoft to use OpenAI’s chips to improve its own in-house chips

As part of Microsoft’s investment in OpenAI, the company is using OpenAI’s development of custom AI semiconductors to help improve its own in-house chips, which have lagged behind peers, according to an interview with CEO Satya Nadella by podcaster Dwarkesh Patel.

“As they innovate even at the system level, we get access to all of it,” Nadella said. “We first want to instantiate what they build for them, but then we’ll extend it.” Under their updated agreement, Microsoft has access to OpenAI’s models and products — excluding the Jony Ive-designed AI device — through 2032.

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