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STATE OF THE UNION

As America celebrates Independence Day, the US economy is powering along

Happy July 4th — here are six charts about the economy.

As you settle in for your second, third — or maybe 70th if your name is Joey Chestnut — hot dog today, you may find yourself unwittingly entered into a conversation about the economy.

To arm you for such an event, here’s some data:

The US economy's H1 2025
Sherwood News

The reality is that, despite a slew of soft economic data — think surveys and sentiment polls — that spooked investors in the springtime, the world’s largest economy has chugged along just fine. And yesterday’s official labor market data showed that the country added another 147,000 jobs in June. Unemployment fell to just 4.1%, with trade uncertainties yet to meaningfully dent the economic data.

Of course, there are always risks. The “wall of worry” that investors have had to climb in order to get comfortable investing has been pretty substantial, with wars in Ukraine and the Middle East, continued trade uncertainty, and growing unease over the size of the federal deficit.

Even AI is a double-edged sword, with companies starting to make very real cuts to their workforces.

But dip buyers, both retail and institutional, can’t seem to kick the habit, leaving the S&P 500 Index at a record high just in time for America’s birthday.

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Premium seats help push airlines higher following third-quarter results

Shares of American Airlines are climbing toward the carrier’s best trading day since August 12, when ultra-budget rival Spirit issued its initial warning about its ability to survive. American’s shares are up more than 7% on Friday afternoon.

Investors’ optimism comes a day after American posted a better-than-expected full-year earnings forecast. In a call with investors, American said that it’s ramping up its premium cabin offerings.

“Our ability to grow capacity in premium markets will be further supported as we take delivery of new aircraft and reconfigure our existing fleet. These efforts will allow us to grow our premium seats at nearly two times the rate of main cabin seats,” CEO Robert Isom said. American CFO Devin May said that nose-to-tail retrofits of certain wide-body jets will bump the number of premium seats available on those planes by 25%.

Extra legroom has been a boon for major carriers, particularly this quarter. Delta Air Lines said its premium product revenue grew 9% in Q3, compared to a 4% drop in economy seat revenue. Similarly, United Airlines said its premium revenue grew 6%, outpacing economy. Shares of both airlines were up more than 3% on Friday.

Carriers with less exposure to first- and business-class tickets like Southwest Airlines and JetBlue didn’t see the same amount of momentum on the day.

Ford plant Cologne

Ford rallies to 52-week high: Wall Street is optimistic about its EV reset and aluminum plant recovery plan

Ford shares reached their highest level since July 2024 in Friday morning trading.

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