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Liquor company Diageo is the latest to be hit by high inflation and increasing sobriety

The alcohol company says it's a tough consumer environment. That's true, but trends are also pointing away from booze.

J. Edward Moreno

Diageo, the company that sells Johnnie Walker whisky and Casamigos tequila, could probably use a drink right now. 

The booze company reported its worst quarter since the start of the pandemic. It reported organic net sales dropped 0.6% in the full year to June 30, marking the first decline since 2020. Diageo's stock dipped more than 5% on Tuesday, reaching a four-year low.

Like many companies in the business of selling products to the average joe, they attribute the weakness in sales to a more strained consumers. Inflation and high interest rates are weighing on consumers, forcing them to make tough choices about where they direct their precious cash. 

"When the consumer environment improves, we will return to growth," Debra Ann Crew, CEO of Diageo, told analysts.

While its not the only company reporting that consumers pulling back, alcohol tends to stay resilient in times of economic stress. It's also true that consumers are generally drinking less than they used to.

Within the contracting alcohol market, consumers are drinking less beer and more liquor, including ready-to-drink cocktails. For Diageo, Guinness and canned cocktails (Crown Royal whisky cola, for example) were strong, while Casamigos tequila sales dipped.

It's also selling more non-alcoholic Guinness, as consumers look more and more to zero-proof brews.

Diageo’s sales decline was also regional: dragged down by North America (2.5%) and Latin America (21.2%) and propped up by Europe, Africa, and Asia. Overall, the amount the company sold by volume is its lowest point since 2014 excluding 2020. 

While it’s true that consumer trends are against it, Diageo’s peers aren’t all suffering. Constellation Brands, which sells Modelo beer and Svedka vodka, grew its sales and profit by 6% and 23%, respectively. 

A big driver of that is Modelo, which has in the past couple years become the most popular beer in the US. But it also saw growth in spirit sales by 8%. 

In its earnings report, Diageo acknowledged that it is behind its peers, but it is "gaining momentum in a cautionary consumer environment."

Screenshot 2024-07-30 at 1.07.37 PM
(Source: Diageo)

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“The excitement for our merchandise exceeded even our biggest expectations,” the company said in a statement to People. “Despite shipping more Bearista cups to our coffeehouses than almost any other item this holiday season, the Bearista cup and some other items sold out fast.”

Within hours of launch, frustrated fans flooded Starbucks’ social media pages and even store hotlines. Some customers waited in line before dawn and others said their stores received only a handful of cups. In one Houston location, the craze even turned physical, with police reportedly called to break up a brawl. Meanwhile, the cup is already reselling on sites like eBay, with listings topping $600.

“We understand many customers were excited about the Bearista cup and apologize for the disappointment this may have caused,” Starbucks said. While in-store customers may be upset, investors seem happy about the viral hit, as the stock has risen over 3% on Friday.

If you’re still hoping for a Bearista at market price, that may not be on order: the chain didn’t disclose how many cups were made or whether a restock is planned.

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Target tells workers to smile, wave, and greet shoppers if they come within 10 feet of them

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Monster surges on energy drink buzz, while Celsius sinks on distribution concerns

Shares of Monster Beverage climbed 5% after the bell on Thursday, and held most of those gains into early trading on Friday, following strong Q3 results.

The energy drink giant topped market expectations, with quarterly sales up 17% year over year to $2.2 billion and adjusted net profits growing 41% to $524.5 million — 11% ahead of Wall Street’s estimates. In the report, Monster highlighted its zero-sugar line and new product launches, with a stack of novel flavors already released this year, as bright spots.

During a call with analysts, Chief Executive Hilton Schlosberg said that the global energy drink category “remains healthy with robust growth,” The Wall Street Journal reported, adding that demand for more affordable caffeinated drinks is rising as coffee has become “really expensive.”

Meanwhile, rival beverage business Celsius saw shares fall as much as 23% on its Q3 results yesterday — despite beating expectations, with revenue jumping 173% — largely due to concerns about a change in the company’s distribution channel, as its newly acquired Alani Nu brand joins the PepsiCo distribution network.

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