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Bitcoin continues its winning streak as ETFs see largest inflows since October

One expert noted that in the short term, a critical level to watch for bitcoin is $107,500, while another expressed optimism for the asset to rise to $130,000 this quarter.

Bitcoin continues its upward trajectory in the first week of 2026, driven by large ETF inflows and renewed liquidity. On Tuesday morning, bitcoin was trading around $93,800, continuing its streak of only going up each day in 2026.

Nic Puckrin, cofounder of Coin Bureau, told Sherwood News that we’ve seen a rebound in bitcoin, alongside precious metals, despite the action in Venezuela, “but likely not necessarily because of it.”

“It’s more likely we’re seeing this rebound because bitcoin was heavily oversold last year and investors are rebalancing portfolios,” he said.

Puckrin added that trading volumes still remain muted, however.

“We would need to see further improvement here for confirmation that this upward trend has legs. For now, it could be more of a reflexive bounce than a sustained shift in momentum,” he said.

Timothy Misir, head of research at Blockhead Research Network, echoed the sentiment, saying that this is a market stabilizing, not accelerating.

“The coming weeks will determine whether fresh capital can translate into durable momentum or whether time remains the dominant force shaping price,” Misir said. 

On Monday, bitcoin ETFs recorded their largest inflows since October 7, totaling $697.25 million, with BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust taking the lion’s share at $372.4 million, according to SoSoValue.

Also reflecting optimism, the CoinMarketCap Fear and Greed Index stood at 49, its highest level since early October, when the crypto market experienced enormous liquidations.

Short-term, a critical level to watch for bitcoin is $107,500, as this is where a structural break would occur, said Gracy Chen, CEO of Bitget.

She said that if the price consolidates above this level, “whether through a pullback or without it, BTC could continue moving higher toward a new ATH and beyond.”

Looking ahead, Farzam Ehsani, CEO of VALR, told Sherwood that aggressive price growth in bitcoin is likely to begin once the rally in precious metals fades, as the asset’s sideways movement against the backdrop of record-breaking gains in gold and silver resembles a calm before the storm, typically followed by a broader crypto market rally.

“The end of the precious metals rally could act like a lit match in a powder keg,” he said.

Ehsani estimated that in the first quarter of 2026, bitcoin could rise to $130,000, while in the unlikely event of a sharp decline in precious metal prices back to early 2025 levels, it could surpass $200,000.

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Ethereum trades sideways as Foundation bleeds members

Ethereum has been stuck between $2,000 and $2,150 in the past week amid ongoing scrutiny toward the Ethereum Foundation, which has seen its talent pool thin out.

“ETH continues to show weakness... ETH/BTC keeps grinding lower, at a 10-month low,” Jasper De Maere, a desk strategist and OTC trader at Wintermute, posted on X. “The marginal risk dollar went into equities, not crypto. When AI semis are working and yields are easing, crypto should follow. It didn’t.”

De Maere continued, “Based on our OTC flow, we see that institutional buying pressure, which was responsible for the recent +ve price action, is now fading quickly, indicating that institutional investors might be at capacity or are re-assessing risk/reward at these new levels.”

Data from SoSoValue shows ethereum ETFs have seen 10 consecutive days of outflows, totaling more than $471.1 million.

Meanwhile, the blockchain’s cofounder Vitalik Buterin, who sits on the board of the Ethereum Foundation, addressed the controversy surrounding the nonprofit over the weekend. Holding around 0.16% of ethereum’s total supply, the foundation is not the center of blockchain network, but rather “one node, with a defined purpose alongside other nodes,” according to Buterin, who says nearly 90% of his net worth is in ethereum.

“EF is still in a transition period, and we expect its new long-term form to stabilize over the next few months,” Buterin said, adding that the EF will sell ethereum less and focus on remaining censorship-resistant, open-source, private, and secure.

“The most high-value ‘product’ of the ethereum blockchain, financially speaking, is ETH the asset. Ethereum secures $250 billion of ETH,” Buterin continued. “That said, there are aspects of supporting ETH the asset — *necessary* aspects even — that are outside the scope of the EF. This is where we need other heroes (some of whom hold more ETH than the EF does) to step in and help.”

Carlos Guzman, vice president of research at crypto trading firm GSR, said Vitalik’s response is a bet on credible neutrality as ethereum’s durable competitive advantage, which attracts liquidity, users, and apps, because “builders and institutions gravitate toward platforms they can trust won’t be captured or co-opted. This is what builds network effects, and network effects are what create durable moats,” Guzman wrote on X.

And yet, Guzman argued credible neutrality is just one piece of the puzzle:

“The risk is that a nimbler chain builds sufficient network effects by executing well on fees, throughput, and UX today while promising credible neutrality tomorrow. Vitalik’s vision is arguably the right one. Whether the ecosystem can execute on it before that window closes remains uncertain.”

Traders are increasingly bearish: prediction market-implied odds of ethereum dropping below $1,750 in 2026 stand at 64%, a jump from 57% at the start of May.

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(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

Traders are increasingly bearish: prediction market-implied odds of ethereum dropping below $1,750 in 2026 stand at 64%, a jump from 57% at the start of May.

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(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

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Crypto exchange Blockchain.com confidentially files for IPO

Blockchain.com, one of the oldest crypto firms, announced it confidentially submitted a draft registration statement on Form S-1 with the US Securities and Exchange Commission, a step toward conducting an initial public offering.

The number of offered shares and price range has yet to be determined, according to a Thursday press release. If the company completes its IPO, Blockchain.com would join Circle and Bullish as crypto companies that have gone public in the year.

Simultaneously, a number of other companies, namely ethereum development firm Consensys, security hardware firm Ledger, and rival crypto exchange Kraken, have paused their plans to IPO due to rough market conditions.

The exchange started in 2011 as a bitcoin search engine before expanding to providing wallets and powering bitcoin transactions. The company raised funds through a series of funding rounds, with a Series D funding round in 2022 giving the firm a $14 billion valuation at the time.

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Hyperliquid ETFs top inflows as HYPE soars

While investors are opting out of ETFs focused on the two largest cryptocurrencies, some are adding ETFs of alternative coins, chief among them being hype, the native token for Hyperliquid. 

Digital asset managers 21shares and Bitwise rolled out hype ETFs last week and have yet to notch any outflows. Tuesday saw the highest level of inflows so far at over $11 million, outpacing XRP and solana ETFs’ combined inflow of nearly $5.3 million. Meanwhile, bitcoin and ethereum saw $393 million exit their funds yesterday, according to SoSoValue.

Bloomberg senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas noted the 21shares Hyperliquid ETF “is growing volume each day since launch in the tens of millions now, 8x over day one, which is [a] really good sign of organic interest.”

The ETF flows coincide with the token’s outperformance, jumping 5.7% in the last 24 hours, 29.5% in the past seven days, and more than 100% year to date, data from CoinMarketCap shows. Bitcoin, ethereum, solana, and XRP are all down double digits in 2026.

Hype began trading a week after former SEC Chairman Gary Gensler announced ending his tenure, and has an all-time high price of $59.30, set in September 2025.

Hyperliquid, the perpetual futures exchange built on its own blockchain, gained traction among users who wanted to trade assets such as commodities, cryptocurrencies, and equities with leverage in hours when traditional venues are closed. 

Treasury firm Hyperliquid Strategies has also rallied on news the SEC will soon greenlight trading tokenized versions of stocks.

Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan thinks investors are underestimating Hyperliquid’s impact and value. “The market is valuing Hyperliquid as a perpetual crypto futures exchange that happens to be growing quickly. But it should be valued as a global super-app covering all assets,” Hougan said in a Tuesday memo.

“Its addressable universe is not the $3 trillion crypto market, but the $600 trillion market for global assets. Those are two completely different businesses,” Hougan continued. “Today’s prices suggest you’re being offered the second at the cost of the first.”

Last week, Coinbase and Circle announced a new agreement with Hyperliquid. Coinbase became Hyperliquid’s official treasury deployer of Circle’s USDC on Hyperliquid, a move that translates to sharing around 90% of stablecoin reserve yield with the protocol.

99% of fees generated on Hyperliquid are dedicated to token buybacks, which, annualized, comes to $618 million, data from DefiLlama shows. The market capitalization of hype stands at $12.3 billion. 

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