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Bitcoin continues its winning streak as ETFs see largest inflows since October

One expert noted that in the short term, a critical level to watch for bitcoin is $107,500, while another expressed optimism for the asset to rise to $130,000 this quarter.

Bitcoin continues its upward trajectory in the first week of 2026, driven by large ETF inflows and renewed liquidity. On Tuesday morning, bitcoin was trading around $93,800, continuing its streak of only going up each day in 2026.

Nic Puckrin, cofounder of Coin Bureau, told Sherwood News that we’ve seen a rebound in bitcoin, alongside precious metals, despite the action in Venezuela, “but likely not necessarily because of it.”

“It’s more likely we’re seeing this rebound because bitcoin was heavily oversold last year and investors are rebalancing portfolios,” he said.

Puckrin added that trading volumes still remain muted, however.

“We would need to see further improvement here for confirmation that this upward trend has legs. For now, it could be more of a reflexive bounce than a sustained shift in momentum,” he said.

Timothy Misir, head of research at Blockhead Research Network, echoed the sentiment, saying that this is a market stabilizing, not accelerating.

“The coming weeks will determine whether fresh capital can translate into durable momentum or whether time remains the dominant force shaping price,” Misir said. 

On Monday, bitcoin ETFs recorded their largest inflows since October 7, totaling $697.25 million, with BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust taking the lion’s share at $372.4 million, according to SoSoValue.

Also reflecting optimism, the CoinMarketCap Fear and Greed Index stood at 49, its highest level since early October, when the crypto market experienced enormous liquidations.

Short-term, a critical level to watch for bitcoin is $107,500, as this is where a structural break would occur, said Gracy Chen, CEO of Bitget.

She said that if the price consolidates above this level, “whether through a pullback or without it, BTC could continue moving higher toward a new ATH and beyond.”

Looking ahead, Farzam Ehsani, CEO of VALR, told Sherwood that aggressive price growth in bitcoin is likely to begin once the rally in precious metals fades, as the asset’s sideways movement against the backdrop of record-breaking gains in gold and silver resembles a calm before the storm, typically followed by a broader crypto market rally.

“The end of the precious metals rally could act like a lit match in a powder keg,” he said.

Ehsani estimated that in the first quarter of 2026, bitcoin could rise to $130,000, while in the unlikely event of a sharp decline in precious metal prices back to early 2025 levels, it could surpass $200,000.

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Hyperliquid reclaims all-time high

HYPE, the native token powering perpetuals exchange Hyperliquid and its underlying blockchain, rebounded to reclaim its all-time high previously set at the start of the month.

Treasury firms Hyperliquid Strategies and Hyperion DeFi have also rallied as the token increased double digits in the last 24 hours to trade as high as $76.70, rising past its record price set nearly two weeks ago, according to CoinGecko. In the interim between all-time highs, HYPE pulled back to around $53.

The token has several tailwinds, the first coming from ETF flows. Since their inception in May, HYPE ETFs have yet to record negative weekly outflows, posting a cumulative total net inflow of $171.8 million, per SoSoValue.

The second comes from Hyperliquid spending basically everything it earns in fees to buy HYPE, a mechanism embedded into the protocol’s codebase.

The venue’s buyback funding mechanism is set to add a new source of yield. Validators of the network activated “AQAv2,” which means stablecoin deployers will share about 90% of reserve yield revenue on their supply within the protocol.

Around $6.1 billion of Circle’s USDC resides in Hyperliquid, per DefiLlama. Accrual begins on August 26 and the first payment is made on October 3, the network announced in its Discord channel last week.

A substantial amount of capital is riding on different positions of HYPE. In total, a move down to under $53 would result in the liquidation nearly 1.8 million HYPE worth of leveraged long positions on the on-chain perps venue, or $131.7 million, data from CoinGlass shows. For the upside, a climb above $100 results in the liquidation of more than 3 million worth of leveraged HYPE short positions, or $221.5 million.

HYPE’s rebound to all-time high comes after Michael Selig, chair of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, defended his agency’s decision to approve regulated perpetuals, or futures contracts without expiration dates, CNBC reported on Monday.

Last month, the CFTC approved bitcoin perpetual futures trading in the US through regulated prediction markets firm Kalshi and an affiliate of centralized exchange Coinbase.

“Perps are highly likely to become lightly regulated and thus approved in the US,” said David Pakman, head of venture investments at CoinFund.

“We expect to see perps for many different types of assets, from commodities to equities,” Pakman told Sherwood News.

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Crypto market snaps back as sentiment lifts, with altcoins from ethereum to XRP soaring

The market capitalization of the crypto industry has jumped around $83.2 billion in the last 24 hours, with privacy-focused token Zcash and worldcoin, the native cryptocurrency of the network backed by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, leading market gains, jumping over 22%.

But the last 24 hours have been good across the board:

Investors have been eager to see some positive signs around the Iranian conflict ending, coupled with hopeful outlooks around the CLARITY act, both breathing some life into assets, Kairos Research cofounder Ian Unsworth told Sherwood News.

Simon Shockey, a crypto strategist at crypto wallet infrastructure firm Privy, said the upswing stems from several things converging. He pointed to how alt markets broadly were very oversold following the bug found in Zcash that shook confidence.

Friday, Zcash founder Zooko Wilcox said Anthropic didn’t find any more serious bugs with the Zcash protocol after Shielded Labs requested the AI firm run a security audit of the network with Mythos.

Shockey added that the pool of willing sellers has dwindled. Even if structurally, AI is a much more compelling and asymmetric bet in the eyes of allocators, many of these crypto assets have simply run out of marginal sellers despite some shorter-term narrative-driven pumps. The only people left to sell at this point are the teams themselves and VCs.

Net-net: oversold conditions plus exhausted seller bases plus a macro backdrop thats stabilized equals a snapback, especially in names that have real usage or community conviction behind them,” Shockey told Sherwood.

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