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Bitcoin ETFs continue to suffer, with BlackRock’s IBIT seeing $1.29 billion exit in a dark pool transaction

This exodus comes on the heels of last week’s $1.26 billion in outflows.

Yaël Bizouati-Kennedy

Bitcoin ETFs saw their seventh consecutive day of outflows yesterday, their longest losing streak since December. This exodus comes on the heels of last week’s $1.26 billion in outflows, the second consecutive weekly billion-dollar exit and the largest weekly outflow since the week of January 30, according to SoSoValue.

The funds registered a $333.71 million exit Tuesday, the bulk of which stemmed from BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust, which saw an unknown investor sell 29 million shares worth a whopping $1.29 billion in a dark pool transaction. Alex Thorne, Galaxy’s head of research, called it “the biggest such trade I’ve ever seen.” A dark pool allows large market participants to buy or sell without disclosing details, usually with minimal impact on the asset’s price.

And in fact, bitcoin didn’t budge when the massive transaction occurred yesterday morning, and several experts said it highlights bitcoin’s resilience and the market’s maturity.

Nic Puckrin, cofounder of Coin Bureau, told Sherwood News that the fact that there was liquidity and execution for such a massive trade is the significant point.

“It’s clear there is still enough institutional buying interest and liquidity to absorb a trade of such size, on an ETF that has only existed for just over two years and an asset class that was considered niche until very recently. It’s certainly no longer niche — BlackRock’s IBIT just proved it,” Puckrin said.

Paul Howard, senior director at Wincent, told Sherwood that the move “is the opposite of worrisome,” as moving size at this scale (equivalent to 16,400 BTC) represents the largest institutional IBIT trade on record, while executing it directly between counterparties with minimal price disruption highlights the depth and maturity of the market.

“It’s also notable that there appeared to be a sizeable purchase of long-dated call options around the same time, which may suggest a new participant establishing an IBIT position rather than a straightforward portfolio rebalance. We should have greater clarity once the IBIT flow data is released,” Howard said.

Still, bitcoin ETFs, which have been a strong price support since the war began, are showing signs of weakness as bitcoin drops below the $75,000 line again.

Adam Haeems, head of asset management at Tesseract Group, told Sherwood that while geopolitical headlines move bitcoin on the day, they rarely set the regime.

What Haeems is watching for the rest of the year is whether ETF flows turn net positive on a sustained basis and whether the leveraged book repositions long again rather than staying short into bounces.

“Geopolitical premium will keep getting priced in and out around individual events; the conditions for sustained risk-on in bitcoin specifically require an institutional flow rotation that is not yet in the data,” Haeems said.

Daniela Hathorn, a senior market analyst at Capital.com, told Sherwood that despite this environment, the outflows have not triggered a full breakdown in price action, suggesting that underlying spot demand is still providing support.

“The key question now is whether these outflows are simply a period of profit-taking and consolidation, or the start of a broader cooling in institutional demand,” Hathorn said.

Some analysts have a more nuanced view of the outflows, saying that while this streak is confirmatory of a sentiment shift, it’s not a predictor of where the price goes next. 

“The on-chain picture has not broken down, and until it does, or until we see exchange inflows accelerate materially, I would be cautious about reading too much into the headline,” Nicolai Søndergaard, a research analyst at Nansen, told Sherwood.

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Hyperliquid reclaims all-time high

HYPE, the native token powering perpetuals exchange Hyperliquid and its underlying blockchain, rebounded to reclaim its all-time high previously set at the start of the month.

Treasury firms Hyperliquid Strategies and Hyperion DeFi have also rallied as the token increased double digits in the last 24 hours to trade as high as $76.70, rising past its record price set nearly two weeks ago, according to CoinGecko. In the interim between all-time highs, HYPE pulled back to around $53.

The token has several tailwinds, the first coming from ETF flows. Since their inception in May, HYPE ETFs have yet to record negative weekly outflows, posting a cumulative total net inflow of $171.8 million, per SoSoValue.

The second comes from Hyperliquid spending basically everything it earns in fees to buy HYPE, a mechanism embedded into the protocol’s codebase.

The venue’s buyback funding mechanism is set to add a new source of yield. Validators of the network activated “AQAv2,” which means stablecoin deployers will share about 90% of reserve yield revenue on their supply within the protocol.

Around $6.1 billion of Circle’s USDC resides in Hyperliquid, per DefiLlama. Accrual begins on August 26 and the first payment is made on October 3, the network announced in its Discord channel last week.

A substantial amount of capital is riding on different positions of HYPE. In total, a move down to under $53 would result in the liquidation nearly 1.8 million HYPE worth of leveraged long positions on the on-chain perps venue, or $131.7 million, data from CoinGlass shows. For the upside, a climb above $100 results in the liquidation of more than 3 million worth of leveraged HYPE short positions, or $221.5 million.

HYPE’s rebound to all-time high comes after Michael Selig, chair of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, defended his agency’s decision to approve regulated perpetuals, or futures contracts without expiration dates, CNBC reported on Monday.

Last month, the CFTC approved bitcoin perpetual futures trading in the US through regulated prediction markets firm Kalshi and an affiliate of centralized exchange Coinbase.

“Perps are highly likely to become lightly regulated and thus approved in the US,” said David Pakman, head of venture investments at CoinFund.

“We expect to see perps for many different types of assets, from commodities to equities,” Pakman told Sherwood News.

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Crypto market snaps back as sentiment lifts, with altcoins from ethereum to XRP soaring

The market capitalization of the crypto industry has jumped around $83.2 billion in the last 24 hours, with privacy-focused token Zcash and worldcoin, the native cryptocurrency of the network backed by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, leading market gains, jumping over 22%.

But the last 24 hours have been good across the board:

Investors have been eager to see some positive signs around the Iranian conflict ending, coupled with hopeful outlooks around the CLARITY act, both breathing some life into assets, Kairos Research cofounder Ian Unsworth told Sherwood News.

Simon Shockey, a crypto strategist at crypto wallet infrastructure firm Privy, said the upswing stems from several things converging. He pointed to how alt markets broadly were very oversold following the bug found in Zcash that shook confidence.

Friday, Zcash founder Zooko Wilcox said Anthropic didn’t find any more serious bugs with the Zcash protocol after Shielded Labs requested the AI firm run a security audit of the network with Mythos.

Shockey added that the pool of willing sellers has dwindled. Even if structurally, AI is a much more compelling and asymmetric bet in the eyes of allocators, many of these crypto assets have simply run out of marginal sellers despite some shorter-term narrative-driven pumps. The only people left to sell at this point are the teams themselves and VCs.

Net-net: oversold conditions plus exhausted seller bases plus a macro backdrop thats stabilized equals a snapback, especially in names that have real usage or community conviction behind them,” Shockey told Sherwood.

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