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Ethereum nears key levels as macro repricing weighs on crypto industry

Around $315.6 million worth of leveraged long positions would be liquidated on Hyperliquid if the price of ethereum dropped to $1,350.

Sage D. Young

The price of ethereum is down over 24% in February and some traders are preparing for lower levels. 

“ETH dipped below $1,900 this week, a level that matters psychologically more than technically,” according to Jasper De Maere, OTC trader at crypto-native algorithmic trading company Wintermute. “The real level to watch here for ETH is ~$1,600.”

Marginal activity remains protective as the market isn’t ready to reward early positioning, De Maere said. “Right now crypto is getting sold as the highest beta growth asset, alongside tech and momentum, in a world where risk premia on growth are rising and the Fed can’t act,” he wrote in a Monday report

“The narrative around stagflation, deglobalisation and Fed paralysis is starting to feel less like a short term catalyst and more like a genuine repricing of the macro backdrop, one that favours hard assets, commodities and value over growth,” De Maere continued. “Crypto sits at the wrong end of that trade for now.” 

The next support for ethereum is the $1,500 level, per Aurelie Barthere, principal research analyst at blockchain analytics firm Nansen. “The correlation with BTC is at 0.99, so it is all a macro story at the moment with BTC leading the way,” Barthere told Sherwood News. 

Traders are cognizant of these levels because substantial trading positions would be forced to unwind if ethereum were to fall more. For example, if ethereum drops to the $1,350 mark, around $315.6 million worth of leveraged long positions would be liquidated on one venue, crypto perpetuals platform Hyperliquid, data from CoinGlass shows. 

These levels on Hyperliquid matter not only because Hyperliquid holds a substantial position in the overall market as a blockchain network, but the protocol’s liquidation bands also reflect leverage across other centralized exchanges, which don’t have publicly available data. 

In other words, volatility on one trading venue, centralized or not, can bleed into the wider industry.

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OP token rises after payments card provider Ether.fi finalizes migration to the layer 2 network

OP, the governance token for OP Mainnet, has increased as much as 5% since Tuesday night following news that Ether.fi, a decentralized finance protocol known for providing noncustodial crypto payment cards, completed its migration to the ethereum layer 2 blockchain network. 

Ether.fi’s move resulted in around $220 million in total value locked coming to OP Mainnet, the largest single TVL event in the network’s history, as well as over 70,000 payment cards and more than 300,000 accounts, according to a blog post from Ether.fi

Originally on alternative layer 2 network Scroll, Ether.fi made the switch to OP Mainnet due to lower median transaction fees of $0.00001 and sub-250-millisecond finality times. 

“To ship what comes next, we needed infrastructure that could handle real-time payments at consumer volume,” Ether.fi CEO Mike Silagadze told Sherwood News. “OP Mainnet delivered on every dimension. Three days to migrate $220M with no downtime answered the question. Now we get to build.” 

The migration comes about two months after Coinbase-incubated blockchain Base announced moving away from Optimism’s OP Stack. 

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Ethereum climbs to highest point since end of January

Ethereum has rallied 8% in the last 24 hours to trade just under the $2,390 level, liquidating over $151.7 million worth of ethereum short positions in the period. 

The last time ethereum was at its current level was the last day of January, data from CoinGecko shows.

According to Jim Hwang, COO of investment company Firinne Capital, ETH has been acting as a risk asset: declining in times of heightened uncertainties such as the conflict in Iran, inflation expectations, and diminished rate cut hopes.

“Only in the last 24+ hours when these uncertainties have diminished are we seeing prices lift again. We can feel a bit of optimism but to the extent that this cease fire remains tentative, we should probably view the current ETH price gains with caution,” Hwang told Sherwood News. 

A GlassNode senior analyst, who maintains the pseudonymous X account CryptoVizArt, said on X that ethereum has “reclaimed the one-to-three month holder cost basis at around $2,300. So far, this structure is consistent with a bear market relief rally, comparable to the bounces observed in Q3-Q4 2022, rather than a structural trend reversal.” 

Tom Lee, chairman of ethereum treasury firm BitMine Immersion Technologies, said ethereum’s performance since the start of the Iran conflict demonstrates how the cryptocurrency is a “wartime store of value,” per the firm’s press release on Monday, in which it announced acquired 71,524 additional tokens worth $170.5 million. That brings its total stockpile to nearly 4.9 million tokens, or 4% of the total supply of ethereum. 

That said, the founder of venture capital firm Kenetic, Jehan Chu, told Sherwood, “It’s clear that regaining ATH [all-time high] will take real-world revenue-generation, and not just a Tom Lee narrative.” 

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