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Ethereum nears key levels as macro repricing weighs on crypto industry

Around $315.6 million worth of leveraged long positions would be liquidated on Hyperliquid if the price of ethereum dropped to $1,350.

The price of ethereum is down over 24% in February and some traders are preparing for lower levels. 

“ETH dipped below $1,900 this week, a level that matters psychologically more than technically,” according to Jasper De Maere, OTC trader at crypto-native algorithmic trading company Wintermute. “The real level to watch here for ETH is ~$1,600.”

Marginal activity remains protective as the market isn’t ready to reward early positioning, De Maere said. “Right now crypto is getting sold as the highest beta growth asset, alongside tech and momentum, in a world where risk premia on growth are rising and the Fed can’t act,” he wrote in a Monday report

“The narrative around stagflation, deglobalisation and Fed paralysis is starting to feel less like a short term catalyst and more like a genuine repricing of the macro backdrop, one that favours hard assets, commodities and value over growth,” De Maere continued. “Crypto sits at the wrong end of that trade for now.” 

The next support for ethereum is the $1,500 level, per Aurelie Barthere, principal research analyst at blockchain analytics firm Nansen. “The correlation with BTC is at 0.99, so it is all a macro story at the moment with BTC leading the way,” Barthere told Sherwood News. 

Traders are cognizant of these levels because substantial trading positions would be forced to unwind if ethereum were to fall more. For example, if ethereum drops to the $1,350 mark, around $315.6 million worth of leveraged long positions would be liquidated on one venue, crypto perpetuals platform Hyperliquid, data from CoinGlass shows. 

These levels on Hyperliquid matter not only because Hyperliquid holds a substantial position in the overall market as a blockchain network, but the protocol’s liquidation bands also reflect leverage across other centralized exchanges, which don’t have publicly available data. 

In other words, volatility on one trading venue, centralized or not, can bleed into the wider industry.

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Buterin’s sales, ETF outflow streak weigh on ethereum

The price of ethereum remains under pressure as ethereum cofounder Vitalik Buterin selling a tranche of his holdings and sustained spot ETF outflows act as headwinds for the second-largest cryptocurrency. 

Buterin sold $5.9 million worth of ethereum over the past several days after withdrawing 3,500 tokens from lending protocol Aave, on-chain data from blockchain analytics firm Arkham Intelligence shows. Since the beginning of the month, Buterin has reportedly sold 8,000 tokens.

Vitalik Buterin sells ethereum

“Historically, his sales have funded ecosystem development or philanthropy rather than signaling reduced conviction,” per Kelly Ye, deputy chief investment officer of Avenir Group. “It may create short-term sentiment pressure, but it’s not necessarily a structural negative — especially given his continued active role in building ethereum,” Ye told Sherwood News.

Meanwhile, spot ethereum ETFs recorded $123.4 million in outflows last week, marking the fifth consecutive week of outflows. In total, nearly $1.4 billion has exited from the funds during the stretch, data from SoSoValue shows. “ETF outflows reflect positioning and liquidity conditions more than protocol fundamentals. ETH is still being treated tactically by many allocators rather than as a core allocation,” Ye added.

The longest outflow streak for the investment vehicles is eight weeks, occurring between February and April 2025, when the cryptocurrency dropped from $2,200 to under $1,600. 

Still, pockets of demand persist. BitMine Immersion Technologies, the leading ethereum treasury firm, acquired roughly $100 million worth of tokens last week, according to a press release

“In the midst of this ‘mini crypto winter,’ our focus continues to be on methodically executing our treasury strategy and steadily acquiring ETH and in turn, optimizing the yield on our ETH holdings,” BitMine Chairman Tom Lee said in a statement.

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