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Solana ETFs listings delayed as JPMorgan predicts the funds to net $1.5 billion in first year

JPMorgan analysts noted that “solana is not perceived by investors the same way as ethereum as the main DeFi/smart contract cryptocurrency.”

Solana ETFs have been delayed by the shutdown, but hopes are high they’ll hit the market shortly.

Despite the anticipation, JPMorgan analysts say inflows will be much more modest than those of bitcoin or ethereum ETFs, and anticipate $1.5 billion in inflows in their first year. To put this in context, bitcoin ETFs, which are just under 2 years old, amassed more than $2 billion in inflows in just two days this week.

JPMorgan analysts said that several drivers could lead to these lower inflows, including that “solana is not perceived by investors the same way as ethereum as the main DeFi/smart contract cryptocurrency,” as well as “investor fatigue with multiple crypto spot ETFs being launched.”

“The launch of ETFs that track more diversified crypto indexes composed of multiple crypto assets, poses additional competition,” they said, adding that “corporate treasuries could be diverting demand away from spot ETFs.”

Grayscale, VanEck, 21Shares, Canary, Bitwise, and Fidelity are among the firms with solana ETFs in the pipeline, for which the SEC has an October 10 deadline for approval. Grayscale amended its ETF filing on Thursday, setting the fund’s fee at a hefty 0.35%. In comparison, Bitwise, which also recently amended its filing, has a 0.20% fee and added “staking” to the fund’s name. Rex-Osprey launched a solana ETF in July, but registered under the Investment Company Act of 1940, “which is different from other spot ETFs filings that are being registered under the Securities Act of 1933/34,” per JPMorgan.

Solana, the sixth-largest crypto by market cap, has been struggling this week, just like the overall crypto market. The token was trending up on Friday morning, however, and is up 58.7% in the past year.

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Solana falls to a more than 3-month low

The price of solana has been struggling, dipping below $76 briefly on Tuesday, a level not seen since February.

Despite the underlying asset suffering, solana ETFs saw $115 million of inflows in May, the highest monthly figure in 2026, data from SoSoValue shows. The investment vehicles have brought in a total of $1.1 billion since their inception last year and have yet to record a monthly outflow.

However, positive ETF flows haven’t swayed traders, who are increasingly negative: prediction market-implied odds of solana dropping under $60 in the year stand at 60%, an increase from 45% three weeks ago.

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(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

"ETF flows for Solana have been positive but relatively small, so they currently only have a marginal effect on the overall price discovery for SOL," according to Carlos Guzman, research analyst at crypto trading firm GSR.

"Solana has been caught up in the broader crypto market weakness, where, outside of a few sectors that have attracted interest of late, including perpetual exchanges, privacy, and AI, most crypto token performance has been sluggish," Guzman told Sherwood News. "The meme coin narrative that drove interest in SOL in late 2024 and early 2025 has largely subsided, so the token has found itself outside of the current zeitgeist."

Meanwhile, former presidential candidate Andrew Yang’s Noble Mobile announced on Tuesday that it acquired Helium Mobile, a wireless carrier that runs on the solana blockchain. The two companies both declined to disclose the deal’s financial details, according to a report from Fortune.

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(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

"ETF flows for Solana have been positive but relatively small, so they currently only have a marginal effect on the overall price discovery for SOL," according to Carlos Guzman, research analyst at crypto trading firm GSR.

"Solana has been caught up in the broader crypto market weakness, where, outside of a few sectors that have attracted interest of late, including perpetual exchanges, privacy, and AI, most crypto token performance has been sluggish," Guzman told Sherwood News. "The meme coin narrative that drove interest in SOL in late 2024 and early 2025 has largely subsided, so the token has found itself outside of the current zeitgeist."

Meanwhile, former presidential candidate Andrew Yang’s Noble Mobile announced on Tuesday that it acquired Helium Mobile, a wireless carrier that runs on the solana blockchain. The two companies both declined to disclose the deal’s financial details, according to a report from Fortune.

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