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Donald Trump and Elon Musk (Alex Wroblewski and Allison Robbert/Getty Images)
$TRUMP Vs. DOGE

Trump-Musk spat sinks each man’s symbolic meme coin

Both $TRUMP and dogecoin are down and the feud could hit bitcoin, too.

It must have been love, but it’s over now, and the feud of all feuds between Elon Musk and Donald Trump is having financial ramifications. In addition to the Trump trades being hit, the crypto market is feeling the bad vibes, too.

As for the meme coins most connected to the two men, both are feeling the breakup pain. Trump’s namesake trump (the one with the famed dinner) is down 8% in the last 24 hours. It’s also down 87% since its all-time high on Inauguration Day.

As for Musk-endorsed dogecoin — a meme coin so beloved by the Tesla CEO it inspired the name of the DOGE agency — it’s down 6% as of 9:50 a.m. and down 75% since its all-time high on May 8, 2021.

“Seeing wild market swings because Elon Musk and Donald Trump are throwing punches at each other on X is both annoying and revealing. Annoying, because we’re still letting loud personalities move the market; revealing, because it shows the crypto ecosystem is still fragile and in desperate need of liquidity,” Kevin Rusher, founder of Real World Asset, said.

As for bitcoin, it’s down about 1.7% this morning. The asset’s moves have been tepid in the past week, oscillating in the low to mid-$100,000 range.

As the crypto market is the only market that trades 24/7, an escalating feud over the weekend could have a dramatic effect on it.

Nic Puckrin, founder of Coin Bureau, said that with the Trump-Musk saga and uncertainty about Trump’s “big, beautiful bill,” the crypto market may bear the brunt if things don’t cool off. 

“Right now, we're seeing bitcoin testing the $100,000 support level, and I wouldn’t be surprised at all to see the price break down below this level in the short term. However, this pullback will likely be short-lived. At the moment, the long/short ratio for bitcoin is 47/53 in favor of the shorts, which usually indicates that a reversal is imminent,” he said.

Puckrin said a key level he’s watching is $102,000: if bitcoin closes above this today, it would signal that the sell-off has run out of steam.

“However, if the reversal is rejected at $106,000, further weakness could be on the horizon. Either way, investors must prepare for more volatility yet again, which has been the one predictable constant in this very unpredictable cycle,” he added.

As of this morning, it doesn’t seem like they will. Despite several bigwigs, including fellow billionaire Bill Ackman, trying to broker a peace deal between the two men, Trump doesn’t seem interested. This morning, the president told several outlets he was not receptive to a call with Musk.

There is one big winner in all of this. Yesterday, a Kill Big Beautiful Bill meme coin was launched on Pump.fun. As of writing, it’s up a whopping 360%.

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Hyperliquid reclaims all-time high

HYPE, the native token powering perpetuals exchange Hyperliquid and its underlying blockchain, rebounded to reclaim its all-time high previously set at the start of the month.

Treasury firms Hyperliquid Strategies and Hyperion DeFi have also rallied as the token increased double digits in the last 24 hours to trade as high as $76.70, rising past its record price set nearly two weeks ago, according to CoinGecko. In the interim between all-time highs, HYPE pulled back to around $53.

The token has several tailwinds, the first coming from ETF flows. Since their inception in May, HYPE ETFs have yet to record negative weekly outflows, posting a cumulative total net inflow of $171.8 million, per SoSoValue.

The second comes from Hyperliquid spending basically everything it earns in fees to buy HYPE, a mechanism embedded into the protocol’s codebase.

The venue’s buyback funding mechanism is set to add a new source of yield. Validators of the network activated “AQAv2,” which means stablecoin deployers will share about 90% of reserve yield revenue on their supply within the protocol.

Around $6.1 billion of Circle’s USDC resides in Hyperliquid, per DefiLlama. Accrual begins on August 26 and the first payment is made on October 3, the network announced in its Discord channel last week.

A substantial amount of capital is riding on different positions of HYPE. In total, a move down to under $53 would result in the liquidation nearly 1.8 million HYPE worth of leveraged long positions on the on-chain perps venue, or $131.7 million, data from CoinGlass shows. For the upside, a climb above $100 results in the liquidation of more than 3 million worth of leveraged HYPE short positions, or $221.5 million.

HYPE’s rebound to all-time high comes after Michael Selig, chair of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, defended his agency’s decision to approve regulated perpetuals, or futures contracts without expiration dates, CNBC reported on Monday.

Last month, the CFTC approved bitcoin perpetual futures trading in the US through regulated prediction markets firm Kalshi and an affiliate of centralized exchange Coinbase.

“Perps are highly likely to become lightly regulated and thus approved in the US,” said David Pakman, head of venture investments at CoinFund.

“We expect to see perps for many different types of assets, from commodities to equities,” Pakman told Sherwood News.

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Crypto market snaps back as sentiment lifts, with altcoins from ethereum to XRP soaring

The market capitalization of the crypto industry has jumped around $83.2 billion in the last 24 hours, with privacy-focused token Zcash and worldcoin, the native cryptocurrency of the network backed by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, leading market gains, jumping over 22%.

But the last 24 hours have been good across the board:

Investors have been eager to see some positive signs around the Iranian conflict ending, coupled with hopeful outlooks around the CLARITY act, both breathing some life into assets, Kairos Research cofounder Ian Unsworth told Sherwood News.

Simon Shockey, a crypto strategist at crypto wallet infrastructure firm Privy, said the upswing stems from several things converging. He pointed to how alt markets broadly were very oversold following the bug found in Zcash that shook confidence.

Friday, Zcash founder Zooko Wilcox said Anthropic didn’t find any more serious bugs with the Zcash protocol after Shielded Labs requested the AI firm run a security audit of the network with Mythos.

Shockey added that the pool of willing sellers has dwindled. Even if structurally, AI is a much more compelling and asymmetric bet in the eyes of allocators, many of these crypto assets have simply run out of marginal sellers despite some shorter-term narrative-driven pumps. The only people left to sell at this point are the teams themselves and VCs.

Net-net: oversold conditions plus exhausted seller bases plus a macro backdrop thats stabilized equals a snapback, especially in names that have real usage or community conviction behind them,” Shockey told Sherwood.

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