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50 winks

Americans that live in colder states are more likely to sleep longer

But most US adults still aren’t getting enough shut-eye.

Millie Giles

As we slouch toward the end of a sticky summer, Americans will be looking forward to finally turning off their AC and getting out their comforters with the approach of autumn (though by Starbucks’ seasonal standards, we’re already a week in).

Pumpkin spice notwithstanding, one of the best things that colder temperatures signal for many is a better night’s sleep.

The cool side of the pillow

Last month, updates were published from an ongoing research project, funded by Apple in collaboration with the American Heart Association and Brigham and Womens Hospital, that uses Apple Watch data from over 61,000 adults to provide insights on factors that affect heart health, including sleep.

Overall, the study showed that most Americans aren’t getting enough shut-eye: the average sleep duration for US adults worked out to be 6 hours and 40 minutes, per Axios, short of the recommended seven to nine hours. It also found that the average bedtime for Americans (or at least when they get off their devices) was about 11:37 p.m.

However, overlaying the results with the average annual temperatures in each US state last year presented a clear correlation: residents in colder states tended to sleep more.

Sleep temperature states
Sherwood News

Plotting average sleep duration with each state’s deviation from the national mean temperature showed that warmer states — such as Louisiana, Texas, and Florida — trended with having shorter sleep lengths. Hawaii, known for its tropical climate, saw participants get the least sleep of any state at 6 hours and 31 minutes, despite having the earliest bedtime (11:06 p.m.).

Generally, states with below-average temperatures, like Colorado and Wyoming, reported the longest slumbers — bar notable exceptions like extremely cold Alaska and unusually sleepy D.C. In fact, while D.C. residents had the third-longest average sleep duration in the country, at 6 hours and 47 minutes, they also went to bed the latest (11:56 p.m.).

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Saleah Blancaflor

Prediction markets show Jordan catching up to Chalamet following Actor Awards

The Screen Actors Guild hosted its Actor Awards on Sunday, with the film awards closely monitored ahead of the Academy Awards. The Best Supporting Actor and Actress races remain suspenseful as Sean Penn (One Battle After Another) and Amy Madigan (Weapons) took home the Actor Awards in those respective categories, shifting the odds in both markets predicting who’ll take home the Oscar.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

But the most exciting race is for Best Actor. Several award pundits and experts predicted that Marty Supreme star Timothée Chalamet was a lock for the Actor Award despite his loss at the BAFTA Film Awards the previous weekend. But a few suggested that either Blue Moonlead Ethan Hawke or Michael B. Jordan could receive the honor instead. And thats exactly what happened when the Sinners star was announced as the winner.

While some have pointed out that the Actor Awards arent a reliable signifier for who will win the Oscar (Demi Moore and Chalamet received the SAG honors last year, but didn’t win the Oscar), it certainly puts Jordan at a higher advantage and makes the Best Actor race closer than its ever been. Chalamet previously had a higher lead in the prediction markets, but markets are now pricing in a 49% chance he takes the Oscar while Jordan’s odds have risen to 40%.

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Saleah Blancaflor

Prediction markets show Chalamet in the lead for Best Actor, but Actor Awards could shake up race

The final voting period has kicked off for the 98th Academy Awards. Up until last weekend, many of the main categories seemed like a lock. While “Hamnet” star Jessie Buckley has been the predicted front-runner for the Best Actress statuette for some time now, the Best Actor and Best Supporting Actor and Actress races have been upended following the BAFTA Film Awards.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

While Timothée Chamalet still remains in the lead for the Best Actor prize, his odds have gone down slightly after he lost the BAFTA award, while the wins of Wunmi Mosaku and Sean Penn in the supporting categories have made it a more exciting race. Here’s a roundup of what some experts and awards pundits have said this week:

  • While Gold Derby still has Chalamet as the front-runner for the Actor Award (and the Oscar), his odds have gone down slightly following the BAFTA loss. Surprisingly, the publication has “Weapons” star Amy Madigan in the lead to win the Actor Award for supporting actress, while they have Penn as the front-runner getting the Actor Award for supporting actor.

  • Numlock Awards reports that the BAFTA Awards reshaped the Oscars race, with Chalamet’s loss throwing the Best Actor race “into chaos” following “I Swear” star Robert Aramayo’s win. (He was not eligible to be nominated for an Oscar.)

  • Meanwhile, Variety’s Clayton Davis reports that the Oscars race has officially become “fractured, unpredictable and thrilling” following the BAFTA Awards. However, he predicts that “Sinners” star Michael B. Jordan will win the Actor Award this weekend and has heard rumblings that “Blue Moon” star Ethan Hawke could pull a last-minute victory. 

  • IndieWire’s Anne Thompson says that Chalamet is “good to go” for the Actor Awards and the Oscars, adding that the Best Supporting Actress and Actor categories are the ones to keep an eye on.

  • Deadline’s Pete Hammond believes that Chalamet’s BAFTA loss doesn’t necessarily impact the Actor Awards — Aramayo isn’t nominated for an Oscar and the BAFTA Awards tend to favor homegrown actors. He agreed with many of the other pundits in that Mosaku and Penn’s wins add more suspense.

  • AwardsRadar’s Joey Magidson points out that no one has ever won two Actor Awards in a row, which could open Chalamet up to an upset win from Hawke. 

  • Meanwhile, AwardsWatch’s Erik Anderson has Chalamet as a lock for the Actor Award, though he lists Jordan as the follow-up should there be a surprise win in that category.

The Actor Awards are on Sunday, and whoever wins that evening could lock in the fate of the actors in the lead and supporting Oscar categories.

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