Culture
MIKEY MADISON, SEAN BAKER at the Oscars
(Frank Micelotta/Getty Images)
welcome to my channel

Could YouTube really be the answer to the Oscars viewership problem?

And should the platform even want to be?

Tom Jones

MrBeast shouting his way through a 30-second opening monologue; a reaction video on the reaction to his introduction; legends of the silver screen making their way onstage to be presented with a statue by one of “the Nelk Boys”; a hastily edited mystery box giveaway section where the In Memoriam once ran. Could this be the Oscars on YouTube? We may find out in a few years. 

And the award for Best Offer goes to…

Though the organization behind the Oscars, The Academy of Motion Pictures Arts and Sciences, has been browsing for a new broadcasting outlet for the ceremony since March, a fresh contender recently emerged. According to Bloomberg reporting in mid-August, YouTube has thrown its hat in the ring alongside Netflix and others to become the home of the Oscars from 2029 onward. Moving the ceremony online would mark a big shift for the prestigious awards show, which has been broadcast on Disney-owned ABC since 1976.

Considering that YouTube has now been the biggest thing on American TVs for six months straight, the deal might not be as crazy as it first may sound. Indeed, even after a cursory glance at recent Oscars viewership figures, the Academy’s attempt to offer its crown jewel to new suitors, especially ones with as much buzz and cultural heft as YouTube, starts to make sense.

Oscars viewership chart
Sherwood News

This year’s ceremony — which saw indie darling “Anora” take home Best Picture, while esteemed actor and known artist Adrien Brody picked up his second Best Actor gong with a lengthy acceptance speech — attracted 19.69 million viewers across ABC and Hulu, the first year (for better or worse) it was shown on a streaming service. While that tally was up 12% from the year before and represented the highest point since 2020, you don’t have to trawl too far back to see just how much America’s Oscars appetite has dwindled.

The Departed

On the back of slumping viewership in 2018, the Academy decided to experiment with the award show’s format the year after by slashing the run time, going hostless, and cutting longer comedy skits. The changes paid off, and viewership rose to 29.6 million. In 2014, for further comparison, a whopping 43.7 million viewers tuned in for a particularly action-packed evening, in a throwback to the sort of numbers that the broadcast commanded in the ’90s.

Of course, only some of this decline can be laid at the feet of the ceremony and its organizers. In truth, Americans just don’t watch TV in the same way we used to, with mega formats and mainstays like sitcoms and late-night talk shows struggling to attract the audiences they once did on linear television as we all look to smaller screens and the online world to feed our need for entertaining content.

Interestingly though, the 2014 show, where host Ellen Degeneres took one of the most retweeted photos of all time and accepted a pizza delivery order mid-ceremony, was also when YouTube search interest in the Oscars peaked. The climbdown since that point suggests that Alphabet’s video-sharing giant will have work to do to rally its native audience around the ceremony if it can secure the rights post-2028.

Oscars YouTube searches chart
Sherwood News

As you might imagine, searches for “oscars” typically spike during the late February, early March window each year around the shows themselves, with YouTube users looking to relive the most entertaining or controversial moments of the night. While those peaks can still be seen — most notably three years ago, after Will Smith slapped Chris Rock — people aren’t rushing to the video-sharing platform post-Oscars with as much fervor as they once did, suggesting Oscars fatigue has hit the internet as well as the TV airwaves.

I spent hundreds of millions on live sport (it was terrifying)

As the lines between TV, streaming, and social media continue to blur, YouTube execs are clearly feeling buoyed by the ongoing success of their Sunday Ticket broadcast deal with the NFL. Having first signed the rights partnership in 2023, the platform and the football league have continued to expand the coverage agreement as YouTube looks to eat into traditional television’s programming, as well as its audience.

Putting aside the positive results from that particular tie-in, however, does a new deal to bring Hollywood’s biggest awards show into the fold, in whatever form that agreement ends up taking, actually make sense for YouTube in the current landscape? Even on the official home of Oscars content on YouTube, hype around the show looks like it’s been subsiding.

Oscars clickbait chart
Sherwood News

Around 10 to 15 years ago, the YouTube channel “@Oscars” was posting clips that would rack up tens of millions of views almost every year, from comedic passages like the opening monologues of Chris Rock or Ellen to earnest acceptance speeches by the likes of Leonardo DiCaprio, Matthew McConaughey, and Sandra Bullock. In recent years, though, the channel’s seen a dearth of viral moments — the Smith/Rock incident doesn’t feature on the channel, but racked up hundreds of millions of views on other outlets — with Joaquin Phoenix’s acceptance speech for his role in “Joker” the only video in the last five years to break the top 15 most viewed clips on the channel.

More Culture

See all Culture
culture
Saleah Blancaflor

Prediction markets show Jordan catching up to Chalamet following Actor Awards

The Screen Actors Guild hosted its Actor Awards on Sunday, with the film awards closely monitored ahead of the Academy Awards. The Best Supporting Actor and Actress races remain suspenseful as Sean Penn (One Battle After Another) and Amy Madigan (Weapons) took home the Actor Awards in those respective categories, shifting the odds in both markets predicting who’ll take home the Oscar.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

But the most exciting race is for Best Actor. Several award pundits and experts predicted that Marty Supreme star Timothée Chalamet was a lock for the Actor Award despite his loss at the BAFTA Film Awards the previous weekend. But a few suggested that either Blue Moonlead Ethan Hawke or Michael B. Jordan could receive the honor instead. And thats exactly what happened when the Sinners star was announced as the winner.

While some have pointed out that the Actor Awards arent a reliable signifier for who will win the Oscar (Demi Moore and Chalamet received the SAG honors last year, but didn’t win the Oscar), it certainly puts Jordan at a higher advantage and makes the Best Actor race closer than its ever been. Chalamet previously had a higher lead in the prediction markets, but markets are now pricing in a 49% chance he takes the Oscar while Jordan’s odds have risen to 40%.

Loading...
 
Loading...
 
culture
Saleah Blancaflor

Prediction markets show Chalamet in the lead for Best Actor, but Actor Awards could shake up race

The final voting period has kicked off for the 98th Academy Awards. Up until last weekend, many of the main categories seemed like a lock. While “Hamnet” star Jessie Buckley has been the predicted front-runner for the Best Actress statuette for some time now, the Best Actor and Best Supporting Actor and Actress races have been upended following the BAFTA Film Awards.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

While Timothée Chamalet still remains in the lead for the Best Actor prize, his odds have gone down slightly after he lost the BAFTA award, while the wins of Wunmi Mosaku and Sean Penn in the supporting categories have made it a more exciting race. Here’s a roundup of what some experts and awards pundits have said this week:

  • While Gold Derby still has Chalamet as the front-runner for the Actor Award (and the Oscar), his odds have gone down slightly following the BAFTA loss. Surprisingly, the publication has “Weapons” star Amy Madigan in the lead to win the Actor Award for supporting actress, while they have Penn as the front-runner getting the Actor Award for supporting actor.

  • Numlock Awards reports that the BAFTA Awards reshaped the Oscars race, with Chalamet’s loss throwing the Best Actor race “into chaos” following “I Swear” star Robert Aramayo’s win. (He was not eligible to be nominated for an Oscar.)

  • Meanwhile, Variety’s Clayton Davis reports that the Oscars race has officially become “fractured, unpredictable and thrilling” following the BAFTA Awards. However, he predicts that “Sinners” star Michael B. Jordan will win the Actor Award this weekend and has heard rumblings that “Blue Moon” star Ethan Hawke could pull a last-minute victory. 

  • IndieWire’s Anne Thompson says that Chalamet is “good to go” for the Actor Awards and the Oscars, adding that the Best Supporting Actress and Actor categories are the ones to keep an eye on.

  • Deadline’s Pete Hammond believes that Chalamet’s BAFTA loss doesn’t necessarily impact the Actor Awards — Aramayo isn’t nominated for an Oscar and the BAFTA Awards tend to favor homegrown actors. He agreed with many of the other pundits in that Mosaku and Penn’s wins add more suspense.

  • AwardsRadar’s Joey Magidson points out that no one has ever won two Actor Awards in a row, which could open Chalamet up to an upset win from Hawke. 

  • Meanwhile, AwardsWatch’s Erik Anderson has Chalamet as a lock for the Actor Award, though he lists Jordan as the follow-up should there be a surprise win in that category.

The Actor Awards are on Sunday, and whoever wins that evening could lock in the fate of the actors in the lead and supporting Oscar categories.

Loading...
 
Loading...
 
culture

Apple and Netflix announce a Formula 1 content swap

Just months after Apple signed a five-year, $140 million-per-year deal for US media rights to Formula 1 races, the streamer is sharing with Netflix.

In a rare content swap, Apple TV will allow Netflix to simulcast the F1 Canadian Grand Prix in May. Netflix, in turn, will allow Apple to carry its popular “Drive to Survive” docuseries.

“Drive to Survive” will land on the queues of both Netflix and Apple TV at 12 a.m. PT this Friday.

The docuseries has been a major driving force behind F1’s increasing popularity in the US, with more than half of the sport’s followers crediting “Drive to Survive” as a key reason they became fans, per a 2022 survey.

“Drive to Survive” will land on the queues of both Netflix and Apple TV at 12 a.m. PT this Friday.

The docuseries has been a major driving force behind F1’s increasing popularity in the US, with more than half of the sport’s followers crediting “Drive to Survive” as a key reason they became fans, per a 2022 survey.

Latest Stories

Sherwood Media, LLC produces fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and is a fully owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, or Robinhood Money, LLC.