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FREAKONOMICS

Most Americans are worrying “a great deal” about the economy and inflation

Water is wet, and Americans are anxious about the nation’s finances.

Millie Giles

With “Liberation Day” only just behind us — an occasion that you may have marked with new traditions like selling loads of Apple stock (or buying loads of Apple stock), and guessing which island territories were slapped with tariffs — it’s fair to say that the economy is top of mind for many right now.

But a recent Gallup poll, published Thursday, found that most Americans (60%) were already highly concerned about the general “economy” when the survey was conducted a month ago, topping the list of worries ahead of other key issues like healthcare costs, inflation, and federal spending.

Top worries
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Fret your bottom dollar

Still, Americans were only slightly less worried about the country’s healthcare than its economy, with 59% reporting worrying “a great deal” about the availability and affordability of healthcare, up from 51% in the 2024 version of the poll.

Interestingly, while financial stresses are currently a central concern for much of the nation, it appears that social issues have fallen by the wayside in the typical American’s anxiety rotation compared to last year. The proportion of respondents who were very worried about crime was down 6 percentage points from 2024, with homelessness and immigration also seeing relative decreases.

And though the quality of the environment is more worrisome for Americans in 2025, the share of those who were very worried about availability of energy was 35%, down from almost half of those surveyed the year before — perhaps a case of when one major societal concern opens, another (temporarily) closes.

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Saleah Blancaflor

Prediction markets show “One Battle After Another” leads in Oscar race for Best Picture

It’s finally Oscars week — and with voting officially closed, all that’s left to do is count the ballots and wait to see who wins this Sunday night. 

This year, the acting categories have been the most interesting to watch, especially the showdown between “Marty Supreme” star Timothée Chalamet and “Sinners” actor Michael B. Jordan for Best Actor. While Chalamet was long the favorite, Jordan has caught up and overtaken him after winning the Actor Award.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

But perhaps the most exciting race of all is for Best Picture. Out of the 10 nominees, the two at the top are Paul Thomas Anderson’s “One Battle After Another” and Ryan Coogler’s “Sinners,” both of which are studio releases from Warner Bros. Discovery

Which will win the top prize seems to be split among award pundits and experts. As of Monday afternoon, Gold Derby still has “One Battle After Another” as the front-runner with odds of 76.87%. AwardsWatch, AwardsRadar, and Numlock Awards are also still predicting that “One Battle After Another” will take the statue for Best Picture.

On the other side, reporters from some major trade publications like Variety’s Clayton Davis and The Hollywood Reporter’s Scott Feinberg predict that “Sinners” will take the top honor.

Odds in the prediction markets currently show that “One Battle After Another” is still ahead of “Sinners,” with the former priced in at 75% while the latter is priced at 23%.

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