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Luke Kawa

Beyond Meat surges on heavy volume as retail traders position for a squeeze in the embattled plant-based meat company

Shares of Beyond Meat are soaring in early trading on Monday, with retail traders hoping for a turnaround — or more realistically, a powerful short squeeze — as the embattled plant-based meat producer scrambles to raise cash to protect its viability.

As of 7:15 a.m. ET, more money had changed hands trading the faux meat firm in the premarket than the likes of Apple, Microsoft, or Palantir.

Bloomberg Most Traded Stocks in US as of 7:15 a.m. ET
Source: Bloomberg

The stock cratered to an all-time low of $0.50 last Thursday after management completed a deal with nearly 97% of the holders of more than $1 billion in senior convertible notes due in 2027 (with a coupon of zero) to exchange those for $196 million in second lien notes due in 2030 (with a coupon of 7%) and more than 316 million shares, a massive dilution of existing shareholders that raised the company’s share count by more than 300%. Those noteholders are now far and away the biggest holders of the company’s equity.

A former Reddit user (who since appears to have been banned from the platform) with the handle capybaraSTOCKS appears to be at the genesis of this newfound wave of optimism surrounding the stock. The user has purportedly since moved to YouTube and says they own 4% of the company. They posted a video on Sunday explaining their thesis, including progress on the company reducing its debt load, its brand value, and the potential for a short squeeze.

“High community interest, social media buzz, and most importantly a near 500 million shares traded volume on Friday” suggest “Beyond is now entering meme stock territory,” per the video.

The stock was among the most highly shorted US companies heading into the month, with over half its shares sold short, per Bloomberg data. That number likely came down meaningfully in the short term thanks to the issuance of over 316 million shares as part of the aforementioned debt-for-equity-and-other-debt swap last week, which saw those who took the company up on its plans temporarily barred from transferring beneficial ownership or selling a large portion of the new shares.

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Report: Boeing could unveil 500-jet order from China during Trump’s visit later this month

Shares of Boeing are up nearly 4% on Friday afternoon, following a Bloomberg report that the company could be close to finalizing a deal to sell 500 planes to China.

The deal was first reported in August and would be one of Boeing’s largest ever.

According to Bloomberg’s sources, the deal could be officially unveiled when President Trump travels to China at the end of the month. That trip could be delayed given the war in Iran. The deal, sources say, could still fall apart — similar language to when it was first reported on more than six months ago.

Boeing has been on the outside of the Chinese market, in terms of new orders, since 2019 amid escalating US-China trade tensions.

According to Bloomberg’s sources, the deal could be officially unveiled when President Trump travels to China at the end of the month. That trip could be delayed given the war in Iran. The deal, sources say, could still fall apart — similar language to when it was first reported on more than six months ago.

Boeing has been on the outside of the Chinese market, in terms of new orders, since 2019 amid escalating US-China trade tensions.

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Why software shares are withstanding the war jitters

The outbreak of the war in Iran has clearly rattled investors and created a few clear winners — mostly energy stocks — and losers — consumer staples, airlines, and, well, more or else everything else.

But there is one interesting outlier to that Manichaean market dynamic.

Software shares — often the same companies that the market was giving up for dead just a few weeks ago due to overexpectations of an AI-driven disruption — have been holding up remarkably well.

These companies, including Intuit, ServiceNow, Datadog, Snowflake, IBM, Workday, and Oracle, have actually had a pretty decent run since the war started with a combined US-Israeli attack on Iran last weekend.

A new note from RBC Capital’s Rishi Jaluria suggests this isn’t just a fluke. Looking at the performance of software stocks during periods of geopolitical stress and market volatility over the last 10 and 25 years, his team found that software shares appear fairly well insulated when these broader shocks hit. RBC wrote:

“The defensive nature of SaaS models and the mission-critical nature of many core software systems at the enterprise level (e.g., in the absence of mass layoffs that may create seat-based headwinds, geopolitical uncertainty and/or market volatility typically will not cause an enterprise CIO to consider ripping out their ERP, CRM, Cyber systems, etc.”

I briefly got Jaluria on the phone yesterday, and he explained a bit more about why he thinks investors might see software as a decent place to hide out from the current chaos.

“With everything in the Middle East, you have to think about not just oil and gas input prices but also supply chains,” he said. “With software, you’re not really thinking about that.”

In other words, there is no equivalent of a closure of the Strait of Hormuz that software investors have to worry about.

Others suggested that the near-term profitability of these giant software companies — aside from concerns about potential long-term disruption from AI — may look different in the face of the economic uncertainty that seems to be growing with the war, especially after a sell-off that has left them relatively attractively valued.

Mark Moerdler, who covers software stocks for Bernstein Research, says that while the AI worries are clearly real, software companies continue to be highly productive cash cows.

“Everyone is afraid that AI is a massive disruptor, and all these articles you read talk about AI as massive disruptor or the world is ending or whatever,” he said. “You don’t see it in the fundamental numbers of the companies I cover. They are delivering GAAP profits, free cash flow, and they’re good investment ideas.”

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