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BRIT POP

Britain’s biggest stock index hit a new record this week — what’s actually in there?

The FTSE 100 passed the 9,000-point mark for the first time on Tuesday and so far is outperforming the S&P 500 in 2025.

Millie Giles

It’s a strange time for the global stock market. Amid tariffs, mounting geopolitical tensions, and stalling consumer spending, companies the world over have spent much of the year weathering countless ups and downs. While that volatility has left Wall Street banks with much to celebrate, another surprise winner has been UK stocks

On Tuesday, Britain’s blue-chip stock index, the FTSE 100, broke through the 9,000-point barrier for the first time ever, taking its 2025 gains to more than 10% — thus far beating the S&P 500, at just over 6%. Though the index then fell back below this benchmark, closing nearly 60 points lower by the end of the session, reaching the milestone could signify a shift in investor confidence about UK business. 

But why is the FTSE only now hitting new highs — and which companies are actually in it?

The FTSE is made up of the 100 largest stocks on the London Stock Exchange, counting AstraZeneca (worth ~$217 billion), HSBC (~$214 billion), and Shell (~$206 billion) among its biggest constituents. 

Dino-soar

Per the Guardian, the FTSE has previously been referred to as a “Jurassic Park” index owing to a lack of fast-growing tech players and reliance on long-standing industries like finance and energy — with the latter making up 9% of the index’s total ~2.3 trillion pounds (~$3 trillion) value between just two companies at the time of writing. Currently, defense stocks are the FTSE’s top performers, with BAE Systems and Rolls-Royce up ~63% and ~70%, respectively, since the start of the year.

These dependable companies have become increasingly appealing to investors during market turmoil. Even though the majority (~75%) of the FTSE’s earnings is still derived from abroad, its reliance on industry stalwarts has become a boon for the index, rather than a bane. (It also doesn’t hurt that uncertainty from the trade war has seen more international investors turn away from the US and the EU.)

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DraftKings moves to counter prediction market threat

DraftKings rose after hours, following news that it is buying Railbird in an effort to address the competitive threat from prediction markets that has weighed on its share price — and that of FanDuel parent Flutter Entertainment — for weeks.

The deal is then latest example of the increasing linkages and overlap between worlds of financial markets, gambling, and prediction markets.

Earlier this month, ICE — the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange and the ICE futures markets, among others — announced it would invest up to $2 billion in prediction markets company Polymarket.

And Robinhood shares have recently gotten a lift from its ongoing partnership with prediction market platform Kalshi, which has seen growing uptake of its events contracts that allow buyers to take positions on football games.

(Robinhood Markets Inc. is the parent company of Sherwood Media, an independently operated media company subject to certain legal and regulatory restrictions.)

By and large investor excitement over prediction markets — which has picked up since the start of football season — has seemed to come at the expense of Flutter and DraftKings, the two companies that dominate US sports betting.

Over the last three months through the end of regular trading on Wednesday, DraftKings and Flutter were down 23% and 18%, respectively, while the S&P 500 is up about 7%.

The deal is then latest example of the increasing linkages and overlap between worlds of financial markets, gambling, and prediction markets.

Earlier this month, ICE — the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange and the ICE futures markets, among others — announced it would invest up to $2 billion in prediction markets company Polymarket.

And Robinhood shares have recently gotten a lift from its ongoing partnership with prediction market platform Kalshi, which has seen growing uptake of its events contracts that allow buyers to take positions on football games.

(Robinhood Markets Inc. is the parent company of Sherwood Media, an independently operated media company subject to certain legal and regulatory restrictions.)

By and large investor excitement over prediction markets — which has picked up since the start of football season — has seemed to come at the expense of Flutter and DraftKings, the two companies that dominate US sports betting.

Over the last three months through the end of regular trading on Wednesday, DraftKings and Flutter were down 23% and 18%, respectively, while the S&P 500 is up about 7%.

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The no-fundamentals, high-volatility winning trades are reversing hard

The volatile, speculative momentum trades that have been on fire in recent months are getting smoked.

The SPDR Gold Shares ETF is on track for its biggest daily loss since April 2013, as of 10:28 a.m. ET.

And Goldman Sachs’ baskets of “high beta momentum longs” and “non-profitable tech” stocks, which have pretty much been the exact same line for two months, got dumped last Thursday and are down big again today.

D-Wave Quantum, Planet Labs, and Navitas Semiconductor are some of the stocks that feature in both of Goldman’s baskets and are down more than 2% as of 10:24 a.m. ET.

All of these groups have been handily outperforming the S&P 500 for an extended period of time despite by their very nature having more hype than actual track records — in terms of producing profits for shareholders — to speak of. Gold, obviously, generates no income. Nonprofitable tech stocks aren’t really in a position to spin off cash they don’t have to their owners. And, as mentioned, high-beta momentum and nonprofitable tech stocks have pretty much traded the same!

It’s difficult to pinpoint a fundamental catalyst for why speculative momentum trades suddenly turn on a dime, just as it’s often tricky to identify why they went on such a mammoth run in the first place. Perhaps the onset of earnings season — which gives us the opportunity to assess fundamental progress — means that right now, there’s more attention being paid to “line go up” when it comes to revenues and profits, and that’s taking away from the mindshare on “line go up” with respect to recent share price performance.

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Sherwood Media, LLC produces fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and is a fully owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, or Robinhood Money, LLC.