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President Trump says that Nvidia can begin to sell its H200 chips to China, with 25% of proceeds going to US government

US President Donald Trump confirmed after the close on Monday that Nvidia will be allowed to ship its H200 chips to China, sending shares of the chip designer up more than 1% in the after-hours session.

Per the president, 25% of the proceeds will go to the US government. That’s a step up from the 15% that Nvidia and AMD had agreed to provide the government in exchange for receiving export licenses to sell their H20 and MI308 chips to China.

Earlier in the day, Semafor reported that the Department of Commerce would soon give the go-ahead to export these powerful chips produced by Nvidia to China, which has been a core priority of the chip juggernaut, citing a source with “knowledge of the plan.” Bloomberg reported on November 21 that such a move was being considered.

The chip designer’s stock surged on the news, while Advanced Micro Devices also caught a bid.

H200s are the most advanced chips from the Hopper line, which was Nvidia’s leading offering prior to Blackwell.

The Chinese government has blocked the import of less powerful chips such as the H20, while China hawks in Washington, DC, have been hesitant to allow the export of the defining technology of the AI era to a rival emerging superpower, introducing a bill in the Senate last week to limit China’s access to chips.

Nevertheless, China’s tech industry has managed to produce models from DeepSeek and Alibaba that compete globally.

Shipments of these chips are “reviving a key data-center revenue stream and potentially restoring $10-$15 billion annually,” wrote Bloomberg Intelligence analysts Kunjan Sobhani and Oscar Hernandez Tejada. “The H200 — offering 5-7x faster performance, 50% more memory, and over 2x the average selling price of the H20 — would likely become the highest-end GPU that Chinese buyers can legally procure, reopening a significant high-margin channel.”

H200s are the most advanced chips from the Hopper line, which was Nvidia’s leading offering prior to Blackwell.

The Chinese government has blocked the import of less powerful chips such as the H20, while China hawks in Washington, DC, have been hesitant to allow the export of the defining technology of the AI era to a rival emerging superpower, introducing a bill in the Senate last week to limit China’s access to chips.

Nevertheless, China’s tech industry has managed to produce models from DeepSeek and Alibaba that compete globally.

Shipments of these chips are “reviving a key data-center revenue stream and potentially restoring $10-$15 billion annually,” wrote Bloomberg Intelligence analysts Kunjan Sobhani and Oscar Hernandez Tejada. “The H200 — offering 5-7x faster performance, 50% more memory, and over 2x the average selling price of the H20 — would likely become the highest-end GPU that Chinese buyers can legally procure, reopening a significant high-margin channel.”

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Report: Boeing could unveil 500-jet order from China during Trump’s visit later this month

Shares of Boeing are up nearly 4% on Friday afternoon, following a Bloomberg report that the company could be close to finalizing a deal to sell 500 planes to China.

The deal was first reported in August and would be one of Boeing’s largest ever.

According to Bloomberg’s sources, the deal could be officially unveiled when President Trump travels to China at the end of the month. That trip could be delayed given the war in Iran. The deal, sources say, could still fall apart — similar language to when it was first reported on more than six months ago.

Boeing has been on the outside of the Chinese market, in terms of new orders, since 2019 amid escalating US-China trade tensions.

According to Bloomberg’s sources, the deal could be officially unveiled when President Trump travels to China at the end of the month. That trip could be delayed given the war in Iran. The deal, sources say, could still fall apart — similar language to when it was first reported on more than six months ago.

Boeing has been on the outside of the Chinese market, in terms of new orders, since 2019 amid escalating US-China trade tensions.

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Why software shares are withstanding the war jitters

The outbreak of the war in Iran has clearly rattled investors and created a few clear winners — mostly energy stocks — and losers — consumer staples, airlines, and, well, more or else everything else.

But there is one interesting outlier to that Manichaean market dynamic.

Software shares — often the same companies that the market was giving up for dead just a few weeks ago due to overexpectations of an AI-driven disruption — have been holding up remarkably well.

These companies, including Intuit, ServiceNow, Datadog, Snowflake, IBM, Workday, and Oracle, have actually had a pretty decent run since the war started with a combined US-Israeli attack on Iran last weekend.

A new note from RBC Capital’s Rishi Jaluria suggests this isn’t just a fluke. Looking at the performance of software stocks during periods of geopolitical stress and market volatility over the last 10 and 25 years, his team found that software shares appear fairly well insulated when these broader shocks hit. RBC wrote:

“The defensive nature of SaaS models and the mission-critical nature of many core software systems at the enterprise level (e.g., in the absence of mass layoffs that may create seat-based headwinds, geopolitical uncertainty and/or market volatility typically will not cause an enterprise CIO to consider ripping out their ERP, CRM, Cyber systems, etc.”

I briefly got Jaluria on the phone yesterday, and he explained a bit more about why he thinks investors might see software as a decent place to hide out from the current chaos.

“With everything in the Middle East, you have to think about not just oil and gas input prices but also supply chains,” he said. “With software, you’re not really thinking about that.”

In other words, there is no equivalent of a closure of the Strait of Hormuz that software investors have to worry about.

Others suggested that the near-term profitability of these giant software companies — aside from concerns about potential long-term disruption from AI — may look different in the face of the economic uncertainty that seems to be growing with the war, especially after a sell-off that has left them relatively attractively valued.

Mark Moerdler, who covers software stocks for Bernstein Research, says that while the AI worries are clearly real, software companies continue to be highly productive cash cows.

“Everyone is afraid that AI is a massive disruptor, and all these articles you read talk about AI as massive disruptor or the world is ending or whatever,” he said. “You don’t see it in the fundamental numbers of the companies I cover. They are delivering GAAP profits, free cash flow, and they’re good investment ideas.”

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