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GameStop store entrance at Rego Center shopping mall, Queens, New York
(Photo by Lindsey Nicholson/UCG/Universal Images Group via Getty Images)

GameStop says its stock went up for no good reason and it's trying to take advantage

We had to ask: What took them so long?

Luke Kawa
Updated 5/17/24 9:51AM

Shares of GameStop are down more than 20% in the pre-market as the company joins AMC in using this period of market exuberance to improve its financial position.

The company announced plans to work with Jefferies to sell up to 45 million shares on the open market to raise money. As part of the prospectus supplement, the firm comments on the recent frenzy (emphasis added):

During such period, we did not experience any material changes in our financial condition or results of operations that would explain such price volatility or trading volume. Furthermore, since January 2021 through the date hereof, the market price of our common stock has seen extreme price fluctuations that do not appear to be based on the underlying fundamentals of our business or results of operations. Investors that purchase shares of our common stock in this offering may lose a significant portion of their investments if the price of our common stock subsequently declines.

One question is, what took them so long? It’s the duty of management to obviously run the company well, be operationally sound, look for efficiencies on the cost side and drive growth on the revenue side, and all that. But it’s also their responsibility to make shrewd financing decisions and, perhaps in this case, to have been better prepared for lightning to strike twice.

Both AMC and GME enjoyed parabolic rises in their share prices to open this week; by Tuesday, AMC had taken advantage by issuing more equity to reduce debt. GME may be only able to get in on the game now because it was somewhat constrained by a so-called “blackout period” ahead of the release of its quarterly earnings report, which had been scheduled for June 7. During blackout periods, bringing offerings to market is generally a no-no. One way to get around this is to come forward with your results early.

As such, GameStop also released preliminary unaudited quarterly results for the three months ending May 4, 2024. Though net sales shrank roughly 30% year-on-year, the net loss actually slimmed by about 35% to an estimate of around $32 million for the quarter versus the prior year. Getting these figures together was likely the bottleneck delaying this offering from coming to market.

A second question revolves around whether GME will miss their window of opportunity. This type of frenzy doesn’t come around every day, and in the very short term, both price and volumes are not trending in the right direction.

We can infer that management didn’t necessarily feel an urgent need to sell shares at the start of the month, when the stock was trading around $11 and roughly 4 million shares changed hands, on average, during the month of April.

Just before this offering, shares were trading around $30 in the pre-market, and they’re now much closer to $20. Volumes traded peaked on Tuesday at more than 200 million shares, and dipped to 76 million by Thursday. Options traders who pre-positioned for massive gains in GameStop appear to have been much more nimble and successful in taking advantage of this rally than management.

UPDATE: Added details around “blackout period” constraints ahead of earnings reports.

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US gas prices rise again, sitting at their highest levels in four years ahead of Memorial Day weekend

Just days away from Memorial Day weekend, the national average of US gas prices rose from a week earlier and sat at the highest they've been in four years.

The price is currently $4.56 a gallon, up 3 cents over last week, and $1.38 higher than this time last year, according to AAA. Today's prices are right around what customers were paying four years ago, when the price on Memorial Day was $4.61. Gas prices experienced a short-lived dip earlier this month before rising again.

Gasoline is in high demand ahead of Memorial Day weekend and the Strait of Hormuz remains closed because of the war in Iran, leaving prices elevated as more drivers hit the road. GasBuddy's Patrick De Haan predicts that gas prices could soon hit $4.80 a galloon soon amid the Strait closure.

Oil prices ticked up slightly on Thursday, with WTI sitting around $100 a barrel, after plunging on Wednesday.

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(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

Gasoline is in high demand ahead of Memorial Day weekend and the Strait of Hormuz remains closed because of the war in Iran, leaving prices elevated as more drivers hit the road. GasBuddy's Patrick De Haan predicts that gas prices could soon hit $4.80 a galloon soon amid the Strait closure.

Oil prices ticked up slightly on Thursday, with WTI sitting around $100 a barrel, after plunging on Wednesday.

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(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

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SoftBank rallies on OpenAI and SB Energy IPO plans; its Japanese-traded stock notches best day since 2000

SoftBank shares skyrocketed in Tokyo trading, notching their biggest daily gain since 2000, boosted by news about planned IPOs at OpenAI, in which SoftBank has a sizable stake, and SoftBank’s own SB Energy unit. ADRs of SoftBank traded in the US rallied, too.

OpenAI is accelerating the timeline to its public debut, preparing to confidentially file its IPO prospectus with regulators as early as Friday, according to The Wall Street Journal. That could set the stage for a highly anticipated public listing as early as September.

SoftBank has systematically expanded its financial exposure to OpenAI, securing a highly valuable stake in the company. As of the fiscal year-end, SoftBank’s cumulative investment in OpenAI totaled $34.6 billion, with a fair value of $79.6 billion, and cumulative investment gains totaled $45 billion, according to a SoftBank filing.

For SoftBank, a successful public debut is critical to demonstrating that OpenAI can protect its market position amid intense industry pressure. Investors have grown increasingly anxious that OpenAI is losing ground to competitors like Anthropic, which is currently in talks for a funding round that could push its own valuation past that of OpenAI.

Adding to the upward momentum, SB Energy, the digital infrastructure and clean energy development firm co-owned by SoftBank and Ares Management, confirmed its own confidential draft registration filing for a major US public listing.

This multipronged IPO pipeline has boosted investors’ confidence in billionaire founder Masayoshi Son’s high-conviction AI thesis, showcasing a road map for SoftBank to transition its paper gains into potential liquidity. SoftBank’s stock is up 37% so far this year.

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Nio posts better-than-expected first-quarter earnings and forecasts strong Q2 sales

Chinese EV maker Nio posted Q1 results before markets opened on Thursday, reporting earnings that beat expectations and strong sales guidance for the second quarter. Shares of the company climbed more than 4% in premarket trading.

For the first quarter, Nio reported:

  • Adjusted earnings of $0.00 per share, compared to the $0.05 loss per share that Wall Street analysts polled by FactSet had expected.

  • $3.7 billion in revenue, compared to the $3.74 billion consensus estimate.

  • 83,465 vehicle deliveries, slightly exceeding its own forecast of between 80,000 and 83,000.

For Q2, Nio guided for deliveries of between 110,000 and 115,000, compared to estimates of 113,807. The company expects second-quarter revenues to come in between $4.75 billion and $4.99 billion, while analysts are forecasting $4.6 billion.

The Chinese auto industry has seen a surge in exports so far this year, as companies make efforts to combat declining domestic sales. Nio, which is still relatively new to overseas operations, has plans to ship “several thousand” EVs overseas this year.

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