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CHICAGO, IL - DECEMBER 21: Chicago Bulls mascot "Benny" dunks a ball dressed as Santa Claus during a break in a game between the Bulls and the Philadelphia 76ers at the United Center on December 21, 2010 in Chicago, Illinois
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S&P 500 closes just shy of record as the Fed cuts interest rates

The rally was broad-based, with all sector ETFs gaining except for utilities.

All major US indexes climbed higher as the Federal Reserve lowered its policy rate by 25 basis points to a range of 3.5% to 3.75% in its final scheduled meeting of 2025. The Russell 2000 outperformed, closing at a new all-time high as small-caps especially benefit from easing. The rally was broad-based, with all sector ETFs gaining except for utilities.

While the move was nearly universally expected by both economists and prediction markets, stocks climbed higher during Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference. The central bank also implied that policymakers aren’t in a hurry to cut rates going forward (emphasis added): “In considering the extent and timing of additional adjustments to the target range for the federal funds rate, the Committee will carefully assess incoming data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks.”

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Oracle slides after-hours after beating on earnings, missing on revenue

Shares of Oracle fell over 6% in postmarket trading, after beating earnings expectations for its second quarter while coming in slightly below analyst estimates for revenue.

Adjusted earnings per share were $2.26, up 54% year on year, blowing past analyst expectations of $1.64 per share.

Revenue for the quarter was $16.06 billion, up 14% year on year, but missing estimates of $16.2 billion.

Sales from Oracle’s cloud computing unit were $8 billion for the quarter, up 34% year on year. Analysts were expecting $8.8 billion.

Oracle shares got a huge boost in September, after announcing a $300 billion deal with OpenAI, but all of that value has since disappeared. Shares are up 30% for the year so far.

Last quarter, Oracle reported $455 billion in RPOs (remaining performance obligations, or backlogged business). This quarter, that figure shot up to $528 billion, up 438% year on year.

The company announced it has sold its interest in its Ampere chip company. Oracle Chairman and CTO Larry Ellison said, “We are now committed to a policy of chip neutrality where we work closely with all our CPU and GPU suppliers. Of course, we will continue to buy the latest GPUs from Nvidia, but we need to be prepared and able to deploy whatever chips our customers want to buy. There are going to be a lot of changes in AI technology over the next few years and we must remain agile in response to those changes.”

Another 2026 outlook Steve Sosnick Chief Strategist Interactive Brokers

Interactive Brokers’ chief strategist sees reasons for caution in ’26

With the looming shift in Fed leadership and growing concern about the AI trade, Interactive Brokers’ chief strategist is penciling in modest losses for stocks next year.

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