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Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang Unveils New  Innovations At CES 2025
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang presenting in Las Vegas on January 6, 2025 (Artur Widak/Getty Images)

Nvidia jumps on report of new AI chip tailor-made for Chinese market

Nvidia is taking a big inventory write-down on its prior attempt for a Chinese-specific AI chip in this week’s earnings report.

Luke Kawa

On Monday, Reuters reported that Nvidia is planning on retooling its new Blackwell chip to make a cheaper, though less powerful, version of the chips for sale to China. 

Shares are up 2.5% in early trading on this impending addition to the already long list of Nvidia’s AI hardware.

This strong start to the day might help end an inauspicious span for the industry, with the VanEck Semiconductor ETF falling for seven straight sessions, its longest losing streak since September 2022. The fund is off 4.3% over this stretch, versus a 3% decline for Nvidia — a stock that recently suffered its largest exodus by retail investors in a decade.

Earlier this month, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang emphasized the opportunity available in China’s AI market, saying it would likely reach about $50 billion in the next two to three years. He followed that up with comments last week saying export curbs on China have been “a failure,” hurting US businesses more than China.

While the US and China have taken high tariffs off the boil, semiconductors remain contentious territory. That was underscored by last week’s “demands” by China’s Ministry of Commerce that the US “correct its mistakes” pertaining to discouraging the use of Huawei’s AI chips.

The Trump administration recently scrapped measures from the Biden administration that restricted semi sales abroad. But these changes do more to help countries like Saudi Arabia get access to this advanced technology — hence the billions in deals with big AI players a couple of weeks ago — and effectively maintain the status quo for China.

According to Reuters, which reports that the new chips are slated for mass production as early as June, an Nvidia spokesperson said, “Until we settle on a new product design and receive approval from the US government, we are effectively foreclosed from China’s $50 billion data center market.”

Nvidia has warned of a $5.5 billion write-down to the value of its inventory coming in Wednesday’s earnings report after the US government crimped its ability to sell H20 chips to China.

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Oil settles Friday at highest level since start of war

US oil prices moved higher in afternoon trading Friday, sapping strength from the stock market as they posted their highest close since the start of the Iran war.

After another day where the Strait of Hormuz was essentially closed to global tanker traffic, US futures for West Texas Intermediate settled up 3.1% at $98.71 a barrel for an 8.6% weekly gain, per Dow Jones data.

American officials have discussed using the US Navy to escort tankers through the narrow waterway between Iran and Oman, but have said plans for such convoys are not ready yet. However, it is unclear if military convoys would bring an end to the war-related dislocations in the oil market.

“It could help,” Tom Liles, senior vice president of upstream research at energy consulting firm Rystad, told Sherwood News in a recent interview. “It could also go in a lot of different directions if a Navy ship is hit or if a tanker is hit.”

American officials have discussed using the US Navy to escort tankers through the narrow waterway between Iran and Oman, but have said plans for such convoys are not ready yet. However, it is unclear if military convoys would bring an end to the war-related dislocations in the oil market.

“It could help,” Tom Liles, senior vice president of upstream research at energy consulting firm Rystad, told Sherwood News in a recent interview. “It could also go in a lot of different directions if a Navy ship is hit or if a tanker is hit.”

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Memory stocks rebound off last weeks losses

Memory stocks Micron, Sandisk, Western Digital, and Seagate Technology Holdings rose again Friday, putting these crucial providers of chips for AI inference work on track for big weekly gains after last week’s steep losses following the outbreak of war with Iran.

There’s no obvious trigger for the move higher for these shares this week, other than a bit of a recovery in the AI trade more broadly — AI beneficiaries like IT cable and connections maker Amphenol and custom chip and networking company Marvell Technology clawed back some gains this week — perhaps due Oracle’s earnings earlier, and some mean reversion to boot.

Micron is due to report earnings after the close of trading on Wednesday, with the company catching a couple price target hikes this week, including one from Wedbush on Friday.

Sandisk is something of a different story, as its enormous gains over the last 12 months — roughly 1,200% — have made it a momentum play beloved by the retail crowd.

It was up about 20% this week at around 11 a.m. ET. And its nearly 170% gain this year keeps the stock on top of the S&P 500, in terms of price performance.

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