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Southwest Airlines At Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport
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Southwest’s first full quarter charging for checked bags drives it to record Q3 revenue

Southwest became the third major airline to report its third-quarter earnings when it dropped its results after the bell Wednesday.

Southwest’s controversial revenue-boosting moves like charging for checked bags appear to be working. Shares of the Dallas-based carrier climbed more than 4% in after-hours trading following the release of its third-quarter earnings on Wednesday.

Southwest reported earnings of $0.11 per share, beating Wall Street estimates of a loss of $0.04 per share. Its operating revenue came in at $6.95 billion, better than analyst estimates of $6.92 billion and up about 1% from last year.

That revenue figure was boosted by Southwest’s bag fees, which the company introduced in the final month of its second quarter. On its second-quarter earnings call in July, Southwest said it expects the new fees to add $350 million in revenue this year, or $1 billion annualized.

According to Southwest, demand improved in July and held strong throughout the quarter. Corporate travel also improved from Q2.

Looking ahead, Southwest said it expects revenue per available seat mile to rise between 1% and 3% in the fourth quarter compared to last year. The carrier said it expects capacity to grow 6% in the current quarter. Last week, airline stocks fell following comments from a Bloomberg Intelligence analyst that certain airlines are growing capacity too fast for the current state of the economy.

Southwest maintained its forecast for full-year earnings before interest and taxes of between $600 million and $800 million. Prior to that forecast, the airline had guided for $1.7 billion.

Southwest isn’t out of revenue-driving moves. Larger rivals Delta Air Lines and United Airlines reported strong growth in premium tickets (extra legroom, priority boarding, etc.) in Q3. Southwest, which has spent much of this year abandoning its successful no-frills strategy, is playing catch-up. Its first plane redesigned for premium travel offerings had its inaugural flight last week. In late January, Southwest will roll out assigned seating and new fare tiers.

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Moderna drops after reporting trial for birth defect vaccine failed

Moderna dropped in after-hours trading Wednesday after it reported that its experimental vaccine for cytomegalovirus (CMV), which can cause birth defects, failed in a late-stage trial.

The company is perhaps best known for being tapped by the government to quickly develop a vaccine for COVID-19 in 2020, which remains its single source of revenue. Investors have been eager for signs that it will add more vaccines to its portfolio soon.

The CMV vaccine was the main product in Modernas pipeline prior to the COVID-19 pandemic. In the most recent results, the vaccine was only between 6% and 23% effective in blocking infection, which was “well below” the company’s target of at least 49%, the company said in a statement.

In statements announcing the results, Modernas leaders described the results at “disappointing.” The company fell more than 5% after-hours and is down more than 35% this year.

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Carvana plunges as investors respond to another subprime lender’s bankruptcy filing

Used car retailer Carvana is plunging on Wednesday, with the stock on pace for its worst day since auto tariffs took effect in April.

Likely spooking investors is a fresh bankruptcy filing by PrimaLend, which specializes in financing for dealerships focused on subprime borrowers (customers with lower credit scores, typically below 600, as defined by Experian). The news follows last month’s bankruptcy filing by another subprime auto lender, Tricolor Holdings.

Carvana doesn’t appear to work directly with PrimaLend, but it does likely have significant exposure to subprime loans. According to a January report by Hindenburg Research, which was shorting Carvana, 44% of the loans Carvana packages into asset-backed securities (ABS) are classified as nonprime (601-660 credit scores). More than 80% of its recent nonprime ABS deals had average FICO scores in the “deep subprime” range, or the riskiest levels, according to the report. Carvana at the time called the report “intentionally misleading and inaccurate.”

Carvana has massive growth goals, saying earlier this year that it aims to sell 3 million retail units per year within 5 to 10 years. (Wall Street expects it to sell about 580,000 units this year.) Lower-income buyers could be a significant part of that growth.

Following Tricolor’s implosion last month, JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon said: “When you see one cockroach, there are probably more. Everyone should be forewarned on this one.” With investors pouring out of Carvana on Tuesday, it seems Wall Street isn’t taking that warning lightly.

There is likely also some momentum pullback baked into Carvana’s drop: the stock, which has been a favorite among retail traders, is still up 58% this year, even after Wednesday’s drop.

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Beyond Meat halted for downside volatility after daily gain of more than 100% disappears

When the broad market turned shortly after 10 a.m. ET, the meme stocks were not immune from the carnage for long.

Beyond Meat, which was up 112% at its peak during regular trading hours on Wednesday amid another day of insanely high volumes and call activity, was halted for downside volatility after briefly erasing all of those gains.

As of 11:49 a.m. ET, the retail trader who posted their “YOLO” buy of 10,000 shares at a price of $7.50 on r/WallStreetBets is now down more than 40% (or $30,000) on the day.

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