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Luke Kawa

Tesla is trading more like bitcoin than a Magnificent 7 stock

There have been a lot of fundamental reasons behind the shellacking of Tesla’s share price lately. Poor sales. Insider selling. Estimate cuts. A severe negative turn in public perception of the company.

It’s not like the bad news stopped today, as Chinese rival BYD showed that it generated more revenue than the Elon Musk-led company last year.

Yet the stock’s surging. What gives? Well, for all the fundamentals, there’s also a key technical reason why the stock had been under pressure: the across the board breakdown in momentum trades, including those with a heavy tie-in to President Trump.

Barclays analysts have long argued that fundamentals are immaterial for the electric vehicle maker (which is probably a stretch!) and that it’s best compared to another asset with not much to go off but vibes: bitcoin. Bitcoin is ripping today, and Tesla is too.

In fact, over the past month — a period that’s included a meaningful pick-up in correlations among the Magnificent 7 constituents — Tesla has been more positively correlated with BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust than any member of that cohort.

Seemingly, this is the market dynamic we saw in the aftermath of the November election reasserting itself yet again.

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President Trump announces data center electricity deals at State of the Union

President Donald Trump said during Tuesday's State of the Union address that he's struck agreements with tech companies to pay more for electricity in areas where they build data centers.

The "rate payer protection pledges" are intended to insulate consumers from higher bills in regions where new, power-hungry data centers are built. The White House earlier told Politico that they plan meant that tech giants would "pay their own way" and offset their demand for power causing electricity bills for all ratepayers to increase.

Some tech companies are already trying to get out in front of the public's negative perception of their surging electricity use, and Trump's criticism of it. In January, Microsoft committed to paying up for its data-center electricity use. That move came after criticism from the President. As part of the plan, Microsoft said it would ask utilities and public commissions to charge it rates hight enough to cover the costs of both data center installation and usage, and support two-tier pricing systems where “Very Large Customers” (like data centers) get charged higher prices.

Coming in to the end of 2025, utilities with a footprint on the countries largest utility grid, the PJM interconnection which serves vast swathes of the Eastern seaboard and Great Lakes region, like Talen Energy, Constellation Energy, and Vistra saw their share prices surge as electricity auction prices hit record highs. So far in 2026, however, that trade has largely reversed.

Some tech companies are already trying to get out in front of the public's negative perception of their surging electricity use, and Trump's criticism of it. In January, Microsoft committed to paying up for its data-center electricity use. That move came after criticism from the President. As part of the plan, Microsoft said it would ask utilities and public commissions to charge it rates hight enough to cover the costs of both data center installation and usage, and support two-tier pricing systems where “Very Large Customers” (like data centers) get charged higher prices.

Coming in to the end of 2025, utilities with a footprint on the countries largest utility grid, the PJM interconnection which serves vast swathes of the Eastern seaboard and Great Lakes region, like Talen Energy, Constellation Energy, and Vistra saw their share prices surge as electricity auction prices hit record highs. So far in 2026, however, that trade has largely reversed.

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Lucid reports Q4 earnings miss, revenue beat

Luxury EV maker Lucid reported its fourth-quarter earnings after the bell Tuesday. Shares fell more than 6% in after-hours trading.

The company posted an adjusted loss of $3.08 per share, wider than the $2.63 loss expected by analysts polled by FactSet. Lucid booked $522.7 million in revenue, beating the consensus estimate of $459.5 million.

Lucid issued a full-year 2026 production outlook of between 25,000 to 27,000 vehicles, representing 40% to 51% growth from 2025’s figures. Lucid downwardly revised its full-year 2025 production numbers from 18,378 to 17,840 vehicles due to internal validation issues.

The company maintained the timeline of its unnamed midsize SUV due to begin production later this year. That schedule puts it close to rival Rivian’s planned second-quarter release of its R2 SUV.

Lucid did not issue an update to its ongoing CEO search. The company has been led by interim CEO Marc Winterhoff for the past year, after it abruptly announced in its fourth-quarter 2024 report that then CEO Peter Rawlinson would step aside.

The stock has fallen to all-time lows this month and is down 98% from its high in 2021. Last week, the company announced it would lay off 12% of its US workforce in an effort to improve profitability.

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Tempus AI slides after missing Q4 EBITDA target

Cancer diagnostics company and sometimes retail shareholder favorite Tempus AI reported soft Q4 adjusted EBITDA numbers late Tuesday, sending shares lower in the after-hours session. 

It reported: 

  • Q4 revenue of $367.2 million vs. FactSet’s expectation of $362.8 million.

  • An adjusted loss per share of $0.04 vs. the $0.04 loss estimated.

  • Adjusted EBITDA of $12.9 million vs. expectations for $22 million, per FactSet.

Since going public in June 2024, Tempus has been a volatile stock that has both doubled — and cratered — on multiple occasions. That spectacle has at times captured the attention of retail traders who’ve tried to ride the waves.

Of late, the wave has been breaking bad, with shares down more than 30% since the stock hit a record high on October 8, 2025

Still, the company is now adjusted EBITDA positive. That, CEO Eric Lefkofsky told us last year, is the first milestone on Tempus journey to profitability, a mark that analysts think will take until at least next year for the company to hit.

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Sandisk sinks more as product release underwhelms market

Sandisk’s online event marking its one-year anniversary since being spun off from Western Digital seems to be something of a damp squib.

The shares, already down a fair bit following the Citron Research short announcement, fell further after the company announced an upgrade to its consumer solid state memory drives alongside a YouTube-based presentation aimed at highlighting all the things one might do with, well, access to additional digital storage.

The stock — which is still up more than 150% in 2026 — was down more than 7% shortly after the company’s post at 2 p.m. ET. That was in stark contrast to the bump software stocks were riding following Anthropic’s product announcement earlier on Tuesday.

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