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Tesla falls sharply after Musk and Trump feud gets nasty

The souring of their relationship will likely have a real impact for Tesla’s bottom line, given how much of the company’s business is related to federal credits.

J. Edward Moreno

Tesla is down by double digits after CEO Elon Musk and President Trump had a very public falling out that started off as a budget dispute and escalated to a threat to pull the entrepreneur’s government contracts, marking what appears to be the end of a relationship between the leader of the free world and the world’s richest man.

Musk took issue with the government spending bill the president backed, which the entrepreneur said would add to the government’s debt and undercut the mission he was given to help reduce government spending. The bill also axes the federal EV tax credit for customers, which could dampen demand for Tesla and jeopardizes its revenue from selling regulatory credits, without which Tesla would have posted a loss last quarter.

On Thursday in the Oval Office, Trump responded by saying he’s “very disappointed in Elon.”

“I’ve helped Elon a lot,” he said.

That’s when Tesla began to slip. As the spat escalated, it started to bringing other Trump trades down with it. So far, the dispute has destroyed well over a hundred billion dollars in market value for Tesla alone.

Musk spent a small fortune of his personal wealth getting Trump elected. He responded on X that without him, “Trump would have lost the election, Dems would control the House and the Republicans would be 51-49 in the Senate.”

Then the gloves came off.

Musk, 54, later (ominously) pointed out that Trump, 78, has 3.5 years left as president “but I will be around for 40+ years…

Then Trump hit him where it hurts. On Truth Social, Trump said the easiest way to save money in the bill would be to cut the many government contracts and subsidies that Musk’s businesses benefit from. In addition to the EV tax credits that have made Teslas more affordable for some, SpaceX counts the US government as one of its largest customers. Musk then alleged that Trump is in the Epstein files.

After Trump was elected, Tesla shares rose as investors banked that Musk’s cozy relationship with the president would benefit the company. But without that relationship, what’s left are policies that mostly hurt Tesla, like tariffs and cutting the EV tax credit. In fact, analysts at JPMorgan estimated the budget bill alone would cut Tesla’s profits in half.

What a ride. At first, Tesla’s relationship with the president was great for the stock. Then the company realized Democrats buy cars, too, and Europeans and other foreign markets didn’t like his political stances. Now, the breakup is hurting.

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Oil settles Friday at highest level since start of war

US oil prices moved higher in afternoon trading Friday, sapping strength from the stock market as they posted their highest close since the start of the Iran war.

After another day where the Strait of Hormuz was essentially closed to global tanker traffic, US futures for West Texas Intermediate settled up 3.1% at $98.71 a barrel for an 8.6% weekly gain, per Dow Jones data.

American officials have discussed using the US Navy to escort tankers through the narrow waterway between Iran and Oman, but have said plans for such convoys are not ready yet. However, it is unclear if military convoys would bring an end to the war-related dislocations in the oil market.

“It could help,” Tom Liles, senior vice president of upstream research at energy consulting firm Rystad, told Sherwood News in a recent interview. “It could also go in a lot of different directions if a Navy ship is hit or if a tanker is hit.”

American officials have discussed using the US Navy to escort tankers through the narrow waterway between Iran and Oman, but have said plans for such convoys are not ready yet. However, it is unclear if military convoys would bring an end to the war-related dislocations in the oil market.

“It could help,” Tom Liles, senior vice president of upstream research at energy consulting firm Rystad, told Sherwood News in a recent interview. “It could also go in a lot of different directions if a Navy ship is hit or if a tanker is hit.”

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Memory stocks rebound off last weeks losses

Memory stocks Micron, Sandisk, Western Digital, and Seagate Technology Holdings rose again Friday, putting these crucial providers of chips for AI inference work on track for big weekly gains after last week’s steep losses following the outbreak of war with Iran.

There’s no obvious trigger for the move higher for these shares this week, other than a bit of a recovery in the AI trade more broadly — AI beneficiaries like IT cable and connections maker Amphenol and custom chip and networking company Marvell Technology clawed back some gains this week — perhaps due Oracle’s earnings earlier, and some mean reversion to boot.

Micron is due to report earnings after the close of trading on Wednesday, with the company catching a couple price target hikes this week, including one from Wedbush on Friday.

Sandisk is something of a different story, as its enormous gains over the last 12 months — roughly 1,200% — have made it a momentum play beloved by the retail crowd.

It was up about 20% this week at around 11 a.m. ET. And its nearly 170% gain this year keeps the stock on top of the S&P 500, in terms of price performance.

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