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Luke Kawa

The “sell America” trade has reached levels not seen since the 1980s

Traders are dumping US assets like mullets are back in style and “Endless Love” is topping the Billboard Hot 100.

Rising recession risks thanks to onerous tariffs have catalyzed a global downgrade of US stocks, with valuations falling relative to global equities by the most on record. Even Bitcoin has managed to divorce from US tech stocks, in part because it’s not an American asset.

Levies on imports (and lower consumption, in the event of exports) may help in reducing imports and America’s trade deficit, but the flip side of that equation is that the rest of the world has less need to invest in American assets. The improvement in the current account is a “maybe,” but US stocks and bonds falling out of favor is happening in the here and now.

Over the past month, the US Dollar Spot Index (which tracks the greenback relative to major developed market currencies) has fallen by more than 5%, as has the S&P 500. Along the way, 10-year Treasury yields are up more than 10 basis points. This combination is exceedingly rare.

In fact, the last time this happened was September 1981, when the US economy was in the second leg lower of its double-dip recession.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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