Markets
markets
Luke Kawa

Trump and Xi didn’t talk about Nvidia’s “super duper” Blackwell chips

What US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping talked about in South Korea obviously matters for financial market participants. What they agreed to? Even more so.

But what they didn’t talk about is also newsworthy.

Like Nvidia’s Blackwell offerings.

Ahead of his chat with Xi, Trump said, “We’ll be speaking about Blackwell, it’s the super duper chip.”

After the meeting, Trump said that while Nvidia and semiconductors were a topic of discussion, “We’re not talking about the Blackwell.”

Shares of Nvidia are down about 2% in early trading.

The most likely explanation is that it’s simply a bridge too far to conceive of sending America’s most advanced AI chips to China in the current geopolitical climate.

It took months of haggling, through public persuasion campaigns and private cajoling, for Nvidia (and AMD) to regain the ability to send nerfed versions of their AI chips to China. And, depending on which reports you believe, demand for those processors is either white-hot or companies aren’t even allowed to buy them (note: both these things could be true!).

Getting effectively locked out of the Chinese market was a major headache for Nvidia earlier this year. In late May, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang said, “With half of the world’s AI researchers based there, the platform that wins China is positioned to lead globally.”

It’s hard not to view Huang’s recent presentation in DC as draping Nvidia in the American flag, which may suggest that he believes Beijing’s active push for a made-in-China AI boom has staying power.

Nvidia’s upcoming earnings report, slated for November 11, will be closely watched for how much (or if) its China business is recovering. Its outlook for $54 billion in sales does not assume any H20 shipments for the three months ending in October.

Zooming out, uncertainty around China isn’t standing in the way of Nvidia’s eye-popping success: Huang said that orders for Blackwell and Rubin chips have already exceeded $500 billion through 2026.

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markets
Luke Kawa

Oracle soars after TikTok signs agreement to sell its US operations to consortium that includes the cloud computing giant

Oracle soared in after-hours trading on Thursday on news that TikTok owner ByteDance signed contracts with the three major investors who are leading a joint venture to take over the short-form video app’s US operations, per a widely-cited memo from TikTok CEO Shou Zi Chew to employees.

The trio of parties in that consortium are the cloud computing company, private equity firm Silver Lake, and MGX, a tech investment company backed by Abu Dhabi.

Per reports, the structure of the deal is roughly aligned with what was outlined in September, which valued TikTok’s US operations at about $14 billion. Relative to some less-popular peers, that seems like a pretty low price tag, so picking up doomscrolling on a discount (or if you prefer, short-term video browsing on a budget) looks to be a worthy catalyst for the bump in the beaten-down hyperscaler’s shares. And that’s even before mentioning the potential for Oracle’s cloud business to enhance its preexisting relationship with TikTok.

Toby Bochan
Market Wrap
9h
Markets cheer surprise gift of cooler CPI amid renewed AI optimism to finish higher

The S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Russell 2000 surged on Thursday — perhaps we’ll have a Santa rally after all!

Two Men Holding Gifts
CAMARILLO, CA FEBRUARY 09: A cannabis farm worker de-leafs cann

Trump signs executive order expediting reclassification of marijuana as a less dangerous drug

Rescheduling would lift regulatory pressures that have been weighing on US cannabis operators’ margins. Shares of weed companies, many of which don’t sell cannabis in the US, tumbled an hour before the executive order was signed.

J. Edward Moreno11h
markets
Max Knoblauch

Rivian climbs as it rolls out a “universal hands-free” update and scores an upgrade from Baird

Shares of EV maker Rivian are on pace for their 10th best day of 2025 on Thursday, following an upgrade from Baird to “buy” from “hold” and the rollout of its new hands-free driving update.

Baird raised its price target on Rivian nearly 79% to $25, writing that “2026 is the year of R2.”

Meanwhile, Rivian says its new hands-free feature will allow drivers to take their hands off the wheel across 3.5 million miles of US and Canadian roads.

Despite referring to it as “universal hands-free” driving, the EV maker says the feature will not stop or slow for traffic lights or stop signs, follow navigation systems, or make turns, and will function only on roads with visible lane lines.

Rivian revealed the update at its AI Day last week, when it also hinted at a robotaxi plan.

Rivian rolls out new 'Universal Hands-Free' driving feature | TechCrunch

Rivian rolls out new 'Universal Hands-Free' driving feature | TechCrunch

Meanwhile, Rivian says its new hands-free feature will allow drivers to take their hands off the wheel across 3.5 million miles of US and Canadian roads.

Despite referring to it as “universal hands-free” driving, the EV maker says the feature will not stop or slow for traffic lights or stop signs, follow navigation systems, or make turns, and will function only on roads with visible lane lines.

Rivian revealed the update at its AI Day last week, when it also hinted at a robotaxi plan.

markets
Matt Phillips

The stock market loves your rising electricity bill

Utilities with a footprint in the massive PJM Interconnection, the country’s largest power grid, were up Thursday after prices set in a key auction hit a record high of $333.44 per megawatt-day.

Such power providers, including Talen Energy, Constellation Energy, and Vistra, saw tidy gains shortly before midday.

“This auction leaves no doubt that data centers’ demand for electricity continues to far outstrip new supply, and the solution will require concerted action involving PJM, its stakeholders, state and federal partners, and the data center industry itself,” Stu Bresler, set to become PJM’s chief operating officer next month, told Reuters.

As I’ve previously mused, political pushback from high power prices, partially created by the AI boom, could become a constraint on development of such sites. Democrats in the US Senate are now calling for hearings on the issue.

It’s fertile political soil. This morning’s US CPI report for November showed electricity prices up nearly 7% year over year, the highest since the tail end of the postpandemic inflation in April 2023.

Costs on Key US Grid Hit New Record, Testing Affordability

Costs on Key US Grid Hit New Record, Testing Affordability

“This auction leaves no doubt that data centers’ demand for electricity continues to far outstrip new supply, and the solution will require concerted action involving PJM, its stakeholders, state and federal partners, and the data center industry itself,” Stu Bresler, set to become PJM’s chief operating officer next month, told Reuters.

As I’ve previously mused, political pushback from high power prices, partially created by the AI boom, could become a constraint on development of such sites. Democrats in the US Senate are now calling for hearings on the issue.

It’s fertile political soil. This morning’s US CPI report for November showed electricity prices up nearly 7% year over year, the highest since the tail end of the postpandemic inflation in April 2023.

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