Power
Amazon risk factors
Quarterly mentions of Amazon and AWS as a risk factor on company 10-Ks had been going up for years. They peaked in 2022 and then began declining in 2023 and 2024.

Companies aren’t talking about Amazon as much as they used to

Who’s afraid of the big bad internet behemoth?

Amazon has long been the bogeyman in the boardroom.

For years it seemed all companies could talk about in their annual 10-K filings, which includes a section called Risk Factors where companies lists the most significant threats to their business, was Amazon and its Web Services division. The number of documents citing Amazon or AWS as a risk factor just kept going up.

But recently, that’s changed. In the last two years, such mentions of Amazon have started to come down, according to data from market intelligence platform AlphaSense.

Mentions on earnings transcripts and within filings overall have declined too, according to data from FactSet.

For example, travel site Booking.com, mentioned Amazon as a risk last year but didn’t this year. Last year it wrote, “Some of our current and potential competitors, such as Google, Apple, Alibaba, Tencent, Amazon, Uber, and Meta, have significantly more customers or users, consumer data, and financial and other resources than we do,” while this year it just said those competitors “include the largest global technology companies.”

It’s unlikely that Amazon, which ranks among the most valuable companies in the world by market cap, has become less of a risk. So why the relative silence?

There could be a few reasons. There are fewer public companies these days and Big Tech companies like Amazon have been buying up would-be public companies, but that’s a long-running trend that Amazon had bucked. It could also be that companies have become more cagey when it comes to mentioning their tech stacks. It’s also possible that Amazon is just not news anymore. Companies have already adopted the cloud and Amazon might be so omnipresent it no longer warrants mention (though if it’s still a risk companies should probably say so in their 10-Ks). Notably, obvious competitors like Walmart and Google never mention Amazon as a risk.

Still, it bears mention that a huge number of companies still mention Amazon among their risk factors, either due to competition from or relationships with the online retail and internet behemoth, including UPS, Roku, Netflix, Pinterest, Mattel, Sonos, American Express, and Uber.

Interestingly, Amazon — which itself has threatened to disrupt Walmart, retail in general, package delivery, bookstores, grocery stores, healthcare, you name it — has lately been finding itself in more of a defensive position than it’s used to, as it focusses on fending off other e-commerce upstarts like Temu and Shein.

“Competition continues to intensify, including with the development of new business models and the entry of new and well-funded competitors,” its latest 10-K reads, as it has for years, without mentioning any companies by name.

And maybe there is more competition that other companies are worried about. Of course, Amazon also has a vested interested in appearing to have competition, since these days antitrust regulators are what it’s most afraid of.

Amazon, whose stock risen lately thanks to the company’s AI efforts, reports earnings after market close today. Let us know if you have other theories as to why Amazon is seeming like less of a risk.

More Power

See all Power
power

OK, so when was the longest shutdown in US history?

The US government officially shut down at 12:01 a.m. on Wednesday after senators failed to agree on a last-minute funding bill. Though initially shrugging off the threat of a shutdown during yesterday’s session, stocks were mildly in the red on Wednesday as investors reacted to what is now the 11th shutdown in the government’s history.

Until this latest shutdown, there had been 20 government funding gaps experienced since 1976 — though not all ended in a full shutdown, with full closure averted in half of those cases.

Indeed, prior to the 1980s, funding gaps didn’t typically have major effects on government operations, with agencies continuing to operate on the basis that the funding would come eventually. However, a more stringent interpretation of the rules led to a stricter appropriations process from the early 1980s onward, with many subsequent funding gaps resulting in a shutdown of affected agencies (unless the gaps were quickly fixed or occurred over a weekend).

Obviously, the duration of the latest shutdown is still unclear, but it will continue until Congress passes a funding bill — most likely via a “continuing resolution,” which has ended every shutdown since 1990. Data analyzed by USAFacts suggest that it might not be a one- or two-day affair, as funding gaps have lengthened in recent years.

Government shutdown patterns
Sherwood News

Indeed, the last shutdown, which began in December 2018, ended up becoming the longest in history, at a whopping 34 days. By the time the government reopened in January 2019, about $3 billion (in 2019 dollars) had been wiped from the GDP in Q4, per data from the Congressional Budget Office, with approximately $18 billion in “federal discretionary spending” delayed over the roughly five-week stretch.

power

GM climbs following upgrade, report that Trump administration seeks stake in its lithium mine partner

Shares of General Motors rose more than 2% in premarket trading Wednesday following an upgrade of the stock by UBS from neutral to buy. The firm also hiked its price target for GM by 45% to $81.

Also likely elevating GM was a Reuters report that the Trump administration is exploring taking a 10% stake in Lithium Americas, the automaker’s partner in a yet to open Thacker Pass lithium mine. Shares of Lithium Americas surged 68% in the premarket.

GM, which invested $625 million into the lithium mine last year, holds a 38% stake in the joint venture. The mine is expected to become the Western Hemispheres primary lithium source in 2028, when it’s slated to open, producing enough of the metal to make 800,000 electric vehicle batteries.

Prior to its plans for Lithium Americas, the Trump administration last month said it would take a 10% stake in Intel. In July, it announced a 15% stake in rare earths miner MP Materials.

News Reporter 1970s

Jimmy Kimmel’s suspension highlights Nexstar and Sinclair’s vast control over US airwaves

Nexstar and Sinclair control large swaths of US television stations. Nexstar’s planned merger could make their influence even greater.

power

Delta dips as the Trump administration orders the end of its joint venture with Aeromexico

Shares of Delta Air Lines ticked down on Tuesday morning following the Trump administration’s order that the airline dissolve its approximately 9-year-old joint venture with Aeromexcio by January 1, 2026.

Delta said it was disappointed in the decision, adding that the termination will “cause significant harm to U.S. jobs, communities and consumers traveling between the U.S. and Mexico.” CEO Ed Bastian previously said that the administration’s regulatory stance could be a “breath of fresh air” for the aviation industry.

The Biden administration tentatively decided last year to not renew the antitrust immunity agreement covering the joint venture. At the time, Delta said “$800 million in annual consumer benefits would evaporate” if the partnership were terminated.

Collaboration isn’t over between the two airlines: the Department of Transportation said Delta can maintain its 20% stake in the Mexican airline and the partnership can continue through “arms-length activities such as codesharing, marketing, and frequent flyer cooperation.”

Latest Stories

Sherwood Media, LLC produces fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and is a fully owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, or Robinhood Money, LLC.