Tech
Elon Musk Joins President Trump For Signing Executive Orders In The Oval Office
Elon Musk, joined by his son X Musk, at the Oval Office (Andrew Harnik/Getty Images)
Time for Tesla?

Elon Musk’s SpaceX stake is now worth more than his Tesla shares on paper

Elon Musk has more priorities than ever — and Tesla isn’t the overwhelming majority of his wealth like it used to be.

David Crowther

For years, Elon Musk’s staggering wealth was primarily anchored on the value of his stake in the world’s leading electric vehicle maker, with his wider forays into space, social media, AI, tunnels, solar panels, neurotechnology, and more often funded by the enormous collateral provided by his Tesla equity.

But Tesla has now fallen for five trading sessions in a row, which means the value of Musk’s current Tesla shares — of which he owns nearly 411 million — has dropped to just shy of $135 billion. His 42% stake in SpaceX, which was recently valued at some $350 billion, is theoretically worth $147 billion.

That comparison has many flaws: it doesn’t include the value of Musk’s 304 million exercisable stock options from his disputed 2018 Tesla compensation package, and SpaceX shares aren’t as liquid as Tesla’s given that it’s a private company, for starters. But it still reflects a broader shift, particularly in the context of the increasingly long list of demands on Musk’s time.

Musk have a clone

Here are just a few of the things Musk is spending time on:

  • In recent weeks, he’s taken up his responsibilities, as undefined as they are, at the Department of Government Efficiency.

  • He’s the chairman and CTO of X Corp. (formerly Twitter).

  • He’s the CEO of Tesla.

  • He’s the CEO of SpaceX.

  • He owns Neuralink.

  • He “leads the team” at xAI.

  • He owns tunnel venture The Boring Company.

  • He’s building multiple company towns.

  • This week, The Wall Street Journal reported he was part of a group of bidders trying to buy OpenAI, something one analyst called “a distraction from Tesla’s core challenges.”

And that’s without mentioning his nonprofessional time sinks.

  • Musk also claims to be a top gamer in “Diablo IV,” something gamers say would’ve required him to play “all day, every day.”

  • And analysis from The Economist confirms what anyone who’s spent any time on his social media platform will know already: that he has tweeted almost nonstop since he acquired X in 2022.

  • Finally, the billionaire, who has fathered at least 12 children of his own, also spends time railing against falling birth rates and urging others to “have many more children.”

Time for Tesla

Musk has always had a broad range of commercial interests, and though there have been calls in the past for him to step down from his CEO role at Tesla, he’s always managed to stay in the hot seat — perhaps in part because shareholders knew that Musk would devote enough time to the company given its importance to his personal wealth.

But if Tesla’s sales continue to drop, the stock continues to slide, and SpaceX continues on its rocket-like trajectory, there may come a time when Musk thinks something along the lines of: hang on, I own ~42% of this space company that’s booming, and ~13% of this EV maker that’s in a price war with stiff competition... maybe I’ll focus on SpaceX or my political endeavors today.

More Tech

See all Tech
tech

FT: Meta considering “tens of billions” in new capital to fund AI

Just days after Google announced a monster $85 billion upsized equity raise, the extremely profitable Meta is seeking to sell “tens of billions of dollars” in stock, according to a new report from the Financial Times.

Meta is planning on spending between $125 billion and $145 billion on AI capital expenditure this year alone.

Shares dropped more than 5% on the news.

tech

FT: Anthropic staff helping the NSA use Mythos for offensive cyberattacks

Anthropic’s Mythos AI model was deemed too dangerous to release to the public, with the company citing its ability to orchestrate novel cyberattacks.

And that’s just what the National Security Agency is doing, with the help of Anthropic staff embedded at the agency, according to a report from the Financial Times.

Only a small number of companies and US allies have been given access to the advanced model, which means America’s adversaries have not had the chance to shore up their defenses against the AI model’s new offensive capabilities.

The arrangement is especially unusual as the Pentagon has deemed Anthropic’s AI a national security supply chain risk — effectively blacklisting it for defense work — in response to the company’s refusal to allow its technology to be used for any legal application, which could include autonomous killing or mass surveillance. Anthropic is currently suing the US government to fight the determination.

Only a small number of companies and US allies have been given access to the advanced model, which means America’s adversaries have not had the chance to shore up their defenses against the AI model’s new offensive capabilities.

The arrangement is especially unusual as the Pentagon has deemed Anthropic’s AI a national security supply chain risk — effectively blacklisting it for defense work — in response to the company’s refusal to allow its technology to be used for any legal application, which could include autonomous killing or mass surveillance. Anthropic is currently suing the US government to fight the determination.

tech

Longtime Tesla bear JPMorgan upgraded Tesla and raised its price target to $475 from $145

For more than a decade, JPMorgan was Wall Streets most stubborn Tesla skeptic, anchored by auto analyst Ryan Brinkman’s strict focus on traditional car fundamentals and near-term delivery numbers.

But JPM recently handed coverage of the stock to a new analyst, Rajat Gupta, who is throwing that playbook out the window. In a note Friday, the firm upgraded Tesla to neutral from underweight and raised its price target 228% to $475 from $145. (The analyst consensus on FactSet is $403.) Instead of focusing on the company’s struggling vehicle business, the new analyst is orienting himself more toward Tesla’s idea of the future, now modeling Tesla’s physical AI and robotaxi fleets all the way out to the year 2040.

Here are the main reasons for the capitulation:

  • Looking past the car lot: Gupta argues that Tesla is at the forefront of physical AI, entering uncharted TAMs” and therefore deserves the benefit of the doubt to be valued on LT earnings potential rather than near-term speed bumps.

  • Unmatched vertical integration: Teslas control over everything from battery cells to custom silicon gives it a massive moat. JPM notes this starting point advantage is unmatched at an industrial level scale” and “still somewhat under-appreciated and misunderstood.

  • The AWS flywheel effect: Deploying Optimus robots inside its own factories should not only lower COGS for the base automotive business, but more importantly, help validate the product at an industrial scale.” Gupta called it “a classic flywheel effect, somewhat analogous to AWS and Kiva at AMZN.

For Tesla bulls who have argued for years that this is an AI company and not a carmaker, JPM’s sudden $3.9 trillion valuation model is the ultimate validation.

skynet terminator

Anthropic ponders self-improving AI

Anthropic says Claude already writes 80% of its code. A new post asks what happens when the models can improve themselves — and whether anyone could stop them.

Latest Stories

Sherwood Media, LLC and Chartr Limited produce fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and are fully owned subsidiaries of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, Robinhood Money, LLC, Robinhood U.K. Ltd, Robinhood Derivatives, LLC, Robinhood Gold, LLC, Robinhood Asset Management, LLC, Robinhood Credit, Inc., Robinhood Ventures DE, LLC and, where applicable, its managed investment vehicles.