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Chart of how Match Group makes money
Sherwood News

Activist investors want dating app company Match Group to shape up

In the last 3 years, investors have had a tough time finding much love for Match Group’s stock. As the owner of Tinder, Hinge, and a swathe of other dating apps and platforms, Match is the largest online dating company in the world, valued at some $8.5 billion at the start of this week. Activist investors think it should be worth much more.

It’s not me, it’s you

In a letter sent to the CEO of Match on Monday, Managing Member of activist hedge fund Starboard Value Jeff Smith confirmed that his company had taken a 6.6% stake in Match Group and outlined the steps his firm believes it should take to realize its full (financial) potential. Shares in the company rose 7.5% after the news broke.

Match Group, it should be said, is already pretty profitable. It makes the majority of its money from direct payers — people who fork out a monthly subscription for access to premium features such as unlimited likes or the ability to message before matching — and only a sliver from advertising. After all of its operating costs are accounted for, the company made a 21.5% operating margin in the first quarter of this year. Starboard thinks that number could be much higher, calling out the company’s “General & Administrative” costs as an area where expenses could shrink.

What are we?

Activist investors aside, the wider industry is in a pretty weird place generally. Between falling share prices, users with mismatched intentions, and the unending struggle to get more customers to cough up for premium versions, something has gone terribly wrong with dating apps, per J. Edward Moreno.

Chart-broken: We have no views on the merits of Starboard’s plan for Match Group, but we have strong views that this chart in the open letter to the CEO is a chart crime [the yellow line for Bumble is pegged to the right-hand axis, making it look like it’s performed better than Match Group].

Starboard Value
Image from Starboard Value LP

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Disney+ subscribers are getting (another) price hike next month

Disney’s streaming prices are going to infinity and beyond.

Starting October 21, Disney+ with ads will climb to $11.99 a month (from $9.99), while the ad-free Disney+ Premium plan will rise to $18.99 (from $15.99). Annual Premium subscriptions will now cost $189.99, up from $159.99. Disney shares were flat on the news.

Bundles are getting pricier too: the Disney+/Hulu (with ads) package will jump from $10.99 to $12.99, while the Disney+/Hulu/ESPN Select bundle will rise from $16.99 to $19.99. The ad-free version of that bundle will go from $26.99 to $29.99. Even legacy bundles that subscribers were allowed to keep will see hikes. For example: the Disney+ Premium/Hulu (with ads)/ESPN Select plan will now run $24.99 instead of $21.99.

After increasing prices four times in the past four years, Disney’s streaming unit finally became profitable last year. It’s yet another example of streaming services slowly raising prices and hoping consumers don’t notice or care enough to cancel.

Disney shares are up over 20% over the past 12 months.

business

Better Home soars after Opendoor kingmaker Eric Jackson dubs it the “Shopify of mortgages”

Shares of Better Home & Finance soared over 160% Monday after EMJ Capital founder Eric Jackson posted on X, dubbing the online mortgage lender the “Shopify of mortgages.” The post drew attention to BETR’s rapid growth.

He went further, calling BETR a “potential 350-bagger in 2 years.” In a subsequent post, Jackson argued that Better ought to be worth $626 per share today, and claimed that it should be worth $12,000 per share in two years.

Now, these are bold claims, but Jackson is coming off a rather successful called shot as the primary architect of the rally in Opendoor Technologies. After a similar series of posts where Jackson argued that Opendoor would be the next Carvana, retail interest in the real estate stock soared, mobilizing an “$OPEN Army” that has managed to gain the ear of management as they propel the stock upward.

Needless to say, when Jackson talks up a stock, retail at least will hear him out.

Better Home & Finance stock is now up a massive 682% year to date.

business

Fox Corp.’s Lachlan and Rupert Murdoch might be part of the TikTok deal, Trump says

President Trump has said that Rupert Murdoch and his son Lachlan, the chief executive of Fox, are “probably” going to be involved in the investor group looking to buy TikTok in the US.

In an interview with Fox News that aired on Sunday, Trump suggested that the conservative media magnates would join partners including Oracle and Dell in the proposed US deal for the popular social media app.

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