President Trump Announces Reciprocal Tariffs From The Oval Office

President Trump’s hands (Andrew Harnik/Getty Images)

M&A flattened in February under the deals-friendly Trump administration

Global trade battles undertaken by President Trump sent North American M&A levels down $50 billion last month from January.

Max Knoblauch

3/14/25 1:34PM

In the aftermath of President Trump’s election, a common Wall Street refrain was that the incoming administration would be great for dealmaking.

Stocks of soon-to-merge companies like Capital One and Discover popped after the election as investors got giddy about the coming mergers and acquisition revival. Goldman Sachs predicted a 20% spike in mergers in Trump’s first year in office. Through softer regulations and a friendlier approach to consolidation, Trump, analysts said, would resuscitate the M&A market that had been put on life support by the Biden administration’s strict antitrust policy led by former FTC Chair Lina Khan.

In January, those predictions appeared prescient. The number of billion-dollar-plus deals in the US surged 29% that month, according to consulting firm EY. Since then, in the face of Trump administration tariffs that have investors and boardrooms spooked, things have turned sour.

According to Bank of America analysts, North American M&A announcement volumes fell to $130 billion last month, the lowest level in two years and down a whopping $50 billion from the month prior. Per S&P Global, four deals valued over $10 billion took place worldwide in January. In February, there were none — the first time since July.

Speaking to Business Insider, Eric Li, the head of competitor analytics at research firm Crisil Coalition Greenwich, said that dealmaking is “frozen” and that the current market is “almost as bad as Covid.”

As noted in the Business Insider report, hiring at investment banks has now slowed and some firms, including Goldman and Bank of America, have recently slashed investment banker head counts (though that trend may have started before Trump’s second term).

Even if the current tariffs, delays, more tariffs monthly cycle dissipates, the Trump admin may not be as easy to predict as past Republican administrations. Last month, current FTC Chair Andrew Ferguson said the agency would maintain the stricter merger guidelines from Khan’s FTC. Still, experts expect Ferguson to be largely partisan, picking fights with Trump’s corporate enemies and less likely than Khan to take on legal battles with long-shot victory odds.

In an interview with CNBC this week, Ferguson appeared to slightly rein in the “M&A floodgates are open” theory, saying:

“If we’ve got a merger or conduct that violates the antitrust laws, and I think I can prove it in court, I’m going to take you to court. And if we don’t, I’m going to get the hell out of the way.”

Tom Jones6/24/26

Prime Day is here again and Amazon’s subscription service has never been more popular

Well, it’s that time of year again: many have made their wish lists, people are scraping together the money they’ve saved to pick out a perfect gift, some are presumably leaving out refreshments for the weary delivery drivers and, more and more, drones.

It’s Amazon Prime Day — meaning that it’s the second day of the four-day promotional event that Amazon still calls Prime Day — of course, and it’s even come early this year, with the company bringing the period into late June from July, when it’s been traditionally held for the last five years.

The Prime Age

Alongside the eyes and endless clicks that the arbitrary stream of listicles on “The Best Prime Day Deals” that almost every media outlet pours into, Amazon will also be cheering the fact that there’s now more Prime users than ever before to devour the retailer and its sellers’ sometimes-contested “discounts.” Indeed, according to the latest annual estimates from Consumer Intelligence Research Partners (CIRP), there were just over 200 million American shoppers using Amazon’s massive subscription service at the end of 2025.

Max Knoblauch6/15/26

Electronic Arts launches a platform to put more ads in its games

Video game publishing giant EA launched a new platform on Monday designed to make the process of selling immersive ad space in its popular games easier.

The company says the platform, called EA Advertising, allows brands to “integrate directly into gameplay through dynamic, real-time placements, from stadium signage to custom in-game content.”

More so than other studios, EA has incorporated advertising into its most popular titles. As Kotaku points out, the company’s ad efforts stretch as far back as 2006. Several of its sports franchises already feature partnerships with brands like Visa, Lowe’s, Red Bull, and PepsiCo.

In-game advertising hasn’t exactly been embraced by fans, but industry experts expect it to ramp up as companies seek more revenue to offset higher games budgets and surging memory costs. EA rival Take-Two has taken a different approach, with CEO Strauss Zelnick recently saying the company was “not at risk of doing brand partnerships” in the forthcoming “Grand Theft Auto VI,” and that ads in full-price games seems “unfair.”

The $55 billion deal to take EA private, led by Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund, is set to close at the end of this month. Being the largest leveraged buyout in history, EA will likely look for more ways to boost revenue to cover interest payments.

Electronic Arts Makes Push for Ad Dollars Tied to Sports

Millie Giles6/11/26

JM Smucker says it sold $1 billion worth of Uncrustables in FY2026

After years of booming sandwich sales, JM Smucker has finally earned a billion-dollar crust.

On Tuesday, the company reported results for fiscal year 2026, highlighting better-than-expected profits driven by higher prices for coffee and sweet baked goods. However, at another point on the earnings call, CEO Mark Smucker pointed to one particularly jammy figure: in line with previous forecasts, the company sold $1 billion worth of its (almost always) crustless sandwiches, Uncrustables, in the last year alone.

Max Knoblauch6/8/26

Paramount reportedly offers concessions to resolve multistate antitrust investigation

Paramount has reportedly offered up some concessions in an effort to prevent an antitrust lawsuit by California and about 10 other states, according to Bloomberg reporting on Monday.

Reuters first reported on the potential suit from a group of unnamed states last week, which could throw a wrench in Paramount’s plans to buy rival Warner Bros. Discovery in a Hollywood megamerger.

The list of concessions is unknown, though Bloomberg previously reported that Paramount is open to divesting some of its kids TV assets to appease EU regulators.

Late last month, reports said US regulators appeared likely to approve the $110 billion merger, following a meeting between Paramount CEO David Ellison and DOJ antitrust staffers.

Paramount Offers Concessions to Head Off State Antitrust Lawsuit

The list of concessions is unknown, though Bloomberg previously reported that Paramount is open to divesting some of its kids TV assets to appease EU regulators.

Late last month, reports said US regulators appeared likely to approve the $110 billion merger, following a meeting between Paramount CEO David Ellison and DOJ antitrust staffers.

$98B ⛽

Max Knoblauch6/8/26

The IATA released its latest financial outlook for the airline industry over the weekend, forecasting a $98 billion jump in the sector’s collective fuel bill. The world’s largest trade group representing airlines expects the oil spike to halve profits by 49% from last year to $23 billion.

The group also expects profit margins to halve year over year, falling from 2025’s 4.2% to 2%. Still, revenue is expected to climb to $1.17 trillion from $1.07 trillion.

A surge in the cost of jet fuel has rocked US and global airlines this year, leading Delta Air Lines, United Airlines, American Airlines, Southwest Airlines, JetBlue, and others to raise fares and ancillary charges like bag fees. Low-cost carriers, which operate on smaller margins, have been squeezed the hardest, resulting in Spirit’s shutdown.

“It’s a tough year for all airlines, especially those whose balance sheets had not yet recovered from COVID. And, of course, for those operating in the Gulf,” said IATA Director General Willie Walsh, who added that demand is holding up and about half of passengers expect to spend more on travel this year. “That bodes well for a strong northern summer peak season. The big unknown is how long travelers and shippers can tolerate the higher costs of connectivity.”