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Nadella: “I feel very, very good” about the pace of Microsoft’s data center plans

Microsoft plans an increase in capital expenditures for AI, but say it’s being careful not to get “upside down” on demand.

Jon Keegan

Yesterday Microsoft delivered a blowout earnings report, beating expectations fueled by strong demand for AI on its Azure cloud computing services. Investors were quite happy, with the stock up over 9% in early trading today.

On the earnings call, everyone was eager to hear more about Microsoft’s capex plans.

Year on year, capital expenditures were up 52% to $16.2 billion for the quarter. But what about the recent reports of Microsoft pulling back on data center construction?

On an earnings call with analysts yesterday, CEO Satya Nadella led with an update on infrastructure:

“We continue to expand our data center capacity. This quarter alone, we opened DCs in 10 countries across four continents. Model capabilities are doubling in performance every six months, thanks to multiple compounding scaling laws.”

Basically, it’s a complicated moment that AI infrastructure builders face now.

All of the buildings, servers, networking, and energy hardware that are allocated for data centers today will be running models that will have already jumped ahead in capabilities and efficiencies — the field is moving really fast, and building huge data centers is comparatively really slow.

In response to an analyst’s question about the reports of a pullback, Nadella said:

“The reality is we’ve always been making adjustments to build, lease, what pace we build all through the last whatever 10, 15 years. It’s just that you all pay a lot more attention to what we do quarter over quarter nowadays.”

Nadella emphasized that they did not want to find themselves in a situation where they overshot demand.

“You dont want to be upside down on having one big data center in one region when you have a global demand footprint. You dont want to be upside down when the shape of demand changes.”

Overall, Nadella expressed confidence in the company’s capex plans, which are expected to increase next quarter. Nadella said, “I feel very, very good about the pace.”

And so far today, investors do too.

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Demis Hassabis, Google DeepMind’s CEO and founder, was also an early Anthropic investor

A chess prodigy and an actual a knight of the realm in the UK, it’s perhaps no surprise that Demis Hassabis has made some strategic moves about his exposure to AI upside. According to people familiar with the matter, the influential AI architect became an angel investor in Anthropic, currently behind many of the leading AI models, per Arena AI leaderboards.

The Nobel Prize winner’s position in the Claude creator was previously undisclosed and, per the Financial Times, highlights Hassabis’ “growing influence across the AI industry.”

Google, which bought DeepMind, the company that Hassabis cofounded and heads to this day, for a reported ~$400 million in 2014, is also a key Anthropic investor. The tech giant reportedly plans to invest up to $40 billion in the AI company as part of the mutually beneficial relationship the pair have forged, with reports that Anthropic has committed to spending $200 billion in the other direction on Google’s cloud services over the next five years.

Im playing all sides, so I always come out on top

In addition to his financial support for Anthropic, Hassabis has also invested in a range of AI startups launched by colleagues, such as Inflection AI, a company set up by DeepMind cofounder Mustafa Suleyman (who is now CEO of Microsoft AI), as well as efforts from other collaborators, like David Silver’s Ineffable Intelligence.

Hassabis also emerged as a recurring figure on the fringes of the recent Elon Musk v. Sam Altman trial, cropping up repeatedly in testimonies and court documents and appearing to live, as The Verge put it, “rent-free” in Musk’s head.

Founded in 2021, Anthropic has recently raised funding at a reported $900 billion valuation, sending it soaring ahead of competitor OpenAI.

The Nobel Prize winner’s position in the Claude creator was previously undisclosed and, per the Financial Times, highlights Hassabis’ “growing influence across the AI industry.”

Google, which bought DeepMind, the company that Hassabis cofounded and heads to this day, for a reported ~$400 million in 2014, is also a key Anthropic investor. The tech giant reportedly plans to invest up to $40 billion in the AI company as part of the mutually beneficial relationship the pair have forged, with reports that Anthropic has committed to spending $200 billion in the other direction on Google’s cloud services over the next five years.

Im playing all sides, so I always come out on top

In addition to his financial support for Anthropic, Hassabis has also invested in a range of AI startups launched by colleagues, such as Inflection AI, a company set up by DeepMind cofounder Mustafa Suleyman (who is now CEO of Microsoft AI), as well as efforts from other collaborators, like David Silver’s Ineffable Intelligence.

Hassabis also emerged as a recurring figure on the fringes of the recent Elon Musk v. Sam Altman trial, cropping up repeatedly in testimonies and court documents and appearing to live, as The Verge put it, “rent-free” in Musk’s head.

Founded in 2021, Anthropic has recently raised funding at a reported $900 billion valuation, sending it soaring ahead of competitor OpenAI.

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