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Luke Kawa

Nvidia whipsawed by report that China’s internet regulator barred companies from ordering its chips

Plot twist!

Nvidia briefly erased all of its premarket gains of 1% after The Information reported that China’s internet regulator has “ordered local tech companies including ByteDance, Alibaba Group, and Tencent Holdings to suspend their purchases of Nvidia chips, citing data security concerns with the chips, according to three people briefed on the matter.”

Per The Information, this decision was made shortly after reports surfaced that Nvidia would be allowed to sell its H20 chips to China once again.

Chinese demand for these processors had reportedly been white-hot, with Reuters saying that Nvidia quickly reversed plans to sell down just its existing inventory and instead ordered an additional 300,000 chips from TSMC.

I’m so old, I remember when US national security concerns were the reason these chips couldn’t be sent to China. That is, I was born before mid-April 2025, when those export restrictions were put in place.

Nvidia recently reached an agreement with the US government to receive export licenses for the H20 in exchange for providing 15% of revenues generated from their sale to the US government.

The chip designer’s calendar 2025 sales estimates hadn’t been rising too briskly following reports that it regained access to what CEO Jensen Huang called a $50 billion AI data center market, suggesting that analysts had been slow to incorporate any potential top-line boost into their forecasts just yet.

Nvidia took a $4.5 billion impairment charge in its Q1 earnings report related to this loss of its China business, and said that its Q2 revenue forecast would have been $8 billion higher if not for the export curbs.

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Archer surges on speculation that Tesla’s announcement has something to do with them

Shares of air taxi maker Archer Aviation rose more than 16% on Monday afternoon amid speculation that the company is somehow involved in an October 7 announcement Tesla has been teasing.

The latest speculation appears to revolve around the inclusion of a Tesla Optimus robot and vehicle alongside Archer’s Midnight air taxi in a video Archer posted on X last week. On Sunday, the Tesla X account uploaded a video featuring its logo on a spinning wheel or propeller, leading some to further connect tomorrow’s announcement to the EVTOL industry.

Archer is prone to big swings — the stock has closed up or down 10% 29 times in the past twelve months. Monday’s move propelled the stock to its highest level since July. Archer rival Joby Aviation was also up more than 6% on the day.

markets

CDC signs off on narrower Covid shot recommendation

Moderna slipped after the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention announced on Monday that it is adopting a narrower recommendation for when COVID-19 booster shots are appropriate.

The CDCs recommendation aligns with what its advisory committee voted for last month, which was for a healthcare provider to sign off on each individual immunization. While that is much narrower than the broad backing of the shot, its less draconian than some investors previously priced in.

markets

Sony shares climb to their highest level in 25 years as Abenomics supporter Sanae Takaichi is likely to become Japanese PM

Shares of Sony rose 4% on Monday, sending the stock up to levels it last reached in March of 2000.

The move was even more impressive in its home listing, where the stock outperformed with a 4.75% jump on Japan’s Nikkei 225 that propelled that index to a record high on Monday.

Boosting the market was the victory of Shinzo Abe protege Sanae Takaichi in a race to lead Japan’s ruling political party, setting the lawmaker up to become the country’s first female prime minister. Takaichi, a hard-line conservative who claims Margaret Thatcher as a personal hero, advocates for “Abenomics”: higher spending and tax cuts. Takaichi previously described the Bank of Japan’s recent interest rate hikes as “stupid.”

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