Markets
Yiwen Lu

US stocks rally as tech strength offsets big bank slump

The S&P 500 closed up 0.5% after a whipsaw on Tuesday. The Nasdaq 100 gained 0.9%, while the Russell 2000 remained unchanged.

Sector ETFs were mixed. A solid showing from the tech sector, up 1.5%, was the key to today’s gain in the S&P 500. The real estate sector was the biggest winner and rose 1.8%. Energy lost the most and retreated 1.7%.

A few financial stocks tumbled. JPMorgan Chase was down 5.2%, its biggest decline since April 2024, a time when stock fell 6.5% after earnings. The shares slid more than than 7% during intraday trading, as bank President Daniel Pinto said that Wall Street forecasts on how much the bank will make in net interest income next year are overly optimistic. It’s just the 12th time the stock has lost 5% on a day the S&P 500 gained in the past 44 years.

Goldman Sachs lost 4.4%. The S&P financial sector ETF decreased 1%. 

Oracle was up 11.4% and hit a record high after reporting better-than-expected results on Monday after the bell. 

WTI crude oil futures were down as much as 5% during intraday trading on Tuesday. Global benchmark Brent futures also declined, hitting their lowest levels since December 2021. In a report released on Tuesday, OPEC trimmed its forecast for oil demand in 2024 and saw slower growth in store for 2025. 

With the upcoming presidential debate on Tuesday night, politics may take center stage. Basket of stocks that stand to benefit from Republican policies (per Goldman Sachs analysts) took a lead after the first presidential debate but fell behind the Democratic policy basket after Biden announced his withdrawal from the race.

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Nike’s China business declines for seventh straight quarter, stock sinks as soft guidance outweighs Q3 earnings beat

Sportswear kingpin Nike reported results for its third quarter, which ended in February, after the bell Tuesday. At a headline-level, the fiscal Q3 numbers were pretty solid, with Nike reporting:

  • Earnings of $0.35 per share, comfortably above the Wall Street consensus of $0.29 per share compiled by FactSet.

  • $11.28 billion in total revenue, roughly in line with the $11.26 billion estimate.

However, weakness in China and a revenue forecast that implies sales will continue to drop are weighing on the shares, which are down more than 9% in early trading on Wednesday.

On the earnings call, management said that revenue is expected to drop 2% to 4% in the coming quarter, and that overall they "expect revenues to be down low-single-digits versus the prior year, with gains in North America offset by declines in Greater China." That's a disappointment to analysts, who were anticipating 2% growth in the coming quarter, and even more in the latter stages of the year, per Bloomberg.

Nike’s sales in China — where the company earns about 15% of its revenue — fell 7% to $1.62 billion. That’s its seventh straight quarter of sales declines in the market, though this quarter’s was less than feared. The company had issued weak guidance for this quarter considering continued softness in the region.

“This quarter we took meaningful actions to improve the health and quality of our business,” said Nike CEO Elliott Hill. “The pace of progress is different across the portfolio and the areas we prioritized first continue to drive momentum.”

Nike shares are trading near decade lows this month, as tariffs continue to weigh on profits and shipping costs rise amid the war with Iran. As of Tuesday’s close, the stock was down 17% year to date.

Oil-sensitive travel stocks pop following Iran state media reporting on potential war resolution

Travel stocks are surging on Tuesday as oil prices fall following reports from Iranian state media that President Masoud Pezeshkian said the country has the necessary will to end this war, but would only do so with guarantees that prevent the recurrence of aggression.

The war has sent oil prices and refining margins surging this month, causing airlines and cruise lines to cut profit forecasts despite reported high demand.

Following Tuesday’s update, shares of the big four US airlines (Delta Air Lines, United Airlines, American Airlines, and Southwest Airlines) all climbed, along with smaller rivals including JetBlue. US airlines have stopped fuel hedging in recent years, increasing their exposure to upward swings in oil prices.

Cruise stocks also rallied, with Carnival and Norwegian up more than 6% and Royal Caribbean up about 5%.

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The FDA is expected to lift restrictions on certain peptides, the NYT reports

The Food and Drug Administration is expected to lift restrictions on certain peptides, allowing the experimental, often injectable substances to be sold by compounding pharmacies, The New York Times reported Tuesday.

The potential move was previously reported by The Wall Street Journal, and teased by Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. on the “Joe Rogan Experience” podcast in late February.

Peptides have boomed in popularity recently, with search interest for “peptides” surpassing “ozempic” this month. Many of them are currently understudied and not approved for human use, a rule consumers are able to bypass by purchasing them from suppliers that sell them for, ostensibly, research purposes only.

As reports of the FDA changing its stance of peptides mount, consumer health companies like Hims & Hers and Superpower have been getting ready to roll out their peptide offerings as soon as they get the FDA's blessing.

Peptides have boomed in popularity recently, with search interest for “peptides” surpassing “ozempic” this month. Many of them are currently understudied and not approved for human use, a rule consumers are able to bypass by purchasing them from suppliers that sell them for, ostensibly, research purposes only.

As reports of the FDA changing its stance of peptides mount, consumer health companies like Hims & Hers and Superpower have been getting ready to roll out their peptide offerings as soon as they get the FDA's blessing.

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Memory stocks bounce as Bernstein analyst calls TurboQuant fears “overdone”

Memory stocks rose Tuesday, after Bernstein analysts called the recent panic over Google’s TurboQuant AI algorithm “overdone.”

Bernstein analyst Mark Newman wrote:

“[Hard disk drive] and Memory stocks have sold off significantly due in part to fears from Google’s TurboQuant report. This however, should have zero impact on HDD demand and negligible impact on NAND demand. Given the stock sell-off we see this as an attractive entry point for Seagate Technology Holdings, Western Digital and Sandisk’s and upgrade WDC to Outperform.”

All three stocks were up early Tuesday, as was memory chip maker Micron.

Todays rally stands in stark contrast to the pummeling these shares have endured over the last week, after Google Research published a technical paper on March 24 detailing its TurboQuant AI algorithm, which compresses the amount of data associated with AI operations without affecting the accuracy of AI models.

That was seen as a threat to surging AI demand for memory storage, which has supercharged prices for memory chips and memory-related stocks over the last year.

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