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US stocks dip as rate cut fails to ignite broad enthusiasm

The S&P 500 fell 0.1%, the Nasdaq 100 gave back 0.2%, and the Russell 2000 outperformed with a 0.2% advance, though it was up more than 2% at its highs of the day.

Nia Warfield, Luke Kawa

US stocks were whipsawed by the Federal Reserve’s first rate cut of 2025, which included a signal to deliver an additional 50 basis points of easing this year if the economy evolves in line with their expectations — but a lot of uncertainty remains over whether that will actually come to pass.

The S&P 500 fell 0.1%, the Nasdaq 100 gave back 0.2%, and the Russell 2000 outperformed with a 0.2% advance, though it was up more than 2% at its highs of the day.

Financials were the best-performing S&P sector ETF, up nearly 1%, while industrials were at the bottom of the leaderboard.

Workday led the bright spots, up 7.3% after Elliott Management announced a $2 billion stake in the HR tech giant. The company also announced a fresh $4 billion buyback program, while Piper Sandler upgraded the stock. Elsewhere…

Uber led declines, falling 5% after Waymo said it’s expanding to Nashville next year and partnering with ride-sharing rival Lyft, which saw shares jump 13.2% on the news. 

Nvidia dropped 2.7% following a Financial Times report that China’s internet regulator has banned the country’s tech leaders, like Alibaba and ByteDance, from buying Nvidia’s AI chips.

Reddit fell as much as 5% before closing flat following reports that the company is in early talks to make its next AI content-sharing deals with Google and OpenAI.

D-Wave Quantum rose nearly 19% after a wave of bullish options as traders pressed wagers on short-term upside for the annealing-centric quantum computing company.

Plug Power rose for the second day in a row, with shares up almost 20%, as bullish options activity continued to spike for the company.

Opendoor soared 14.3% as management committed to ongoing engagement with shareholders and confirmed plans to expand services throughout the US.

IonQ shares popped 5.1% after the company announced plans to acquire quantum sensor company Vector Atomic in an all-stock deal worth approximately $400 million.

LoanDepot jumped 2.5% as the small-cap mortgage originator sees enthusiastic chatter on Reddit’s r/WallStreetBets and explosive call buying.

Lucid leapt 3.3%, continuing to climb out of recent all-time lows following the luxury EV maker’s 1-for-10 reverse stock split and a looming EV tax credit expiration.

VF Corp. edged 0.7% higher after the owner of The North Face, Vans, and Timberland offloaded its largest workwear brand, Dickies, to Bluestar Alliance for $600 million.

Duolingo dipped 0.6% after Citi analysts trimmed their price target on the stock, citing disappointing announcements at the company’s Duocon convention Tuesday.

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The tech sector’s biggest winners and losers are swapping places

It’s bizarro world for the tech sector.

Software stocks, the market’s collective whipping boy in 2026 in light of the presumptive threat of AI disruption, are continuing to recover on Tuesday. Meanwhile, the biggest winners of the AI boom this year — memory stocks, benefiting from intense shortages — are taking their turn in the red.

The iShares Expanded Tech Software ETF’s gains are being led by Datadog, a rare case of a software stock rising after reporting earnings this season, with heavyweights Oracle and ServiceNow outperforming the industry. Figma, which isn’t in this product, is also up double digits.

On the other side of the spectrum, Micron, Sandisk, Seagate Technology Holdings, and Western Digital are selling off.

The seesaw of modern markets often requires that as one group’s fortunes inflect positively after a long drubbing, so too must a high-flyer have its wings clipped.

That is, if you’re a portfolio manager long memory and short software stocks, and enough investors are willing to catch a falling knife and buy the beaten-down group, staying market-neutral and reducing this position would require you to purchase software and dump some memory stocks.

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Michael Burry flags bearish technical pattern in Palantir, says he’s “working on something”

Trader and widely followed Substacker Michael Burry, once of “The Big Short” fame, called out a bearish technical trend for Palantir in a post on X last night.

He spotlighted what he interprets as a “head and shoulders” pattern in the stock, considered a bearish omen among the international community of chart-watchers.

Along with that, he’s also mapped out Fibonacci retracement levels, another popular technical analysis tool to identify key prices the shares might fall to or rebound from. Burry’s chart highlights the level around $84 as the “Next Support” for the stock and $54.50 as the “Landing Area.”

Along with that, he’s also mapped out Fibonacci retracement levels, another popular technical analysis tool to identify key prices the shares might fall to or rebound from. Burry’s chart highlights the level around $84 as the “Next Support” for the stock and $54.50 as the “Landing Area.”

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Paramount once again enhances its Warner Bros. bid without boosting its per-share offer

Paramount continues to do everything except the one thing that would vault its Warner Bros. Discovery bid into a winning position.

On Tuesday, the company beefed up its bid for WBD by adding an incremental payout if its deal closing were to be too slow, as well as offering to cover breakup expenses if WBD’s tie-up with Netflix were to end.

But again, Paramount stopped short of raising its $30-per-share value.

Getting into the nitty gritty, Paramount said it will pay a shareholders a “ticking fee” of $0.25 per share for every quarter the deal hasn’t closed after the end of 2026. (For comparison, Netflix and WBD expect their deal to close 12 to 18 months from when their merger deal was struck, which was December 5 of last year.)

Paramount also pledged to fund the $2.8 billion termination fee to Netflix, which has been a sticking point for the WBD board. Paramount said it would also eliminate a possible $1.5 billion refinancing cost of debt.

The company’s last attempt to boost its offer included a $40.4 billion personal guarantee from billionaire Larry Ellison, the father of Paramount CEO David Ellison.

Event contracts show a slight boost in Paramount’s odds to end up in control of Warner Bros. following the announcement, though Netflix is still firmly the favorite.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

But again, Paramount stopped short of raising its $30-per-share value.

Getting into the nitty gritty, Paramount said it will pay a shareholders a “ticking fee” of $0.25 per share for every quarter the deal hasn’t closed after the end of 2026. (For comparison, Netflix and WBD expect their deal to close 12 to 18 months from when their merger deal was struck, which was December 5 of last year.)

Paramount also pledged to fund the $2.8 billion termination fee to Netflix, which has been a sticking point for the WBD board. Paramount said it would also eliminate a possible $1.5 billion refinancing cost of debt.

The company’s last attempt to boost its offer included a $40.4 billion personal guarantee from billionaire Larry Ellison, the father of Paramount CEO David Ellison.

Event contracts show a slight boost in Paramount’s odds to end up in control of Warner Bros. following the announcement, though Netflix is still firmly the favorite.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

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Harley-Davidson sinks on falling motorcycle sales, weaker-than-expected 2026 profit forecast

Harley-Davidson posted a loss per share more than twice as bad as Wall Street had expected in its fourth quarter. The company, which reported Q4 and full-year results on Tuesday, posted an adjusted loss of $2.44 per share, compared to Wall Street estimates of a $1.06 loss per share.

The motorcycle maker is contending with declining sales of, well, motorcycles. Shipments fell 4% in the fourth quarter from the year prior, while analysts had anticipated a 22% increase. Harley’s full-year gross margin was about 4 percentage points lower year over year, a decline the company said was driven by tariffs.

Harley CEO Artie Starrs called 2025 a “challenging year” and said the company is “taking deliberate actions to stabilize the business, restore dealer confidence, and align wholesale activity with retail demand.” Near-term results reflect those actions, Starrs said.

The year ahead didn’t offer much optimism for investors. For its motorcycle division, the company forecast a full-year operating income of between a $40 million loss and a $10 million profit. Wall Street analysts polled by FactSet expected $128 million in profit. The company said its full-year guidance could be impacted by a new strategic plan, set to be announced in May.

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Credo soars after preliminary Q3 revenues beat estimates and management projects annual sales growth of 200%

Credo Technology Group is earning itself some new believers.

The seller of active electrical cables (AECs) and other electrical connectivity solutions for data centers announced stellar Q3 preliminary sales results after the close on Monday, with guidance that calls for rapid growth to continue.

Shares are up about 15% as of 8 a.m. ET.

Management said Q3 revenues would range between $404 million and $408 million, above the upper end of its guidance and the $341 million forecast from Wall Street. Going forward, the company projects that revenues will grow in the mid-single digits quarter on quarter, propelling revenue growth up more than 200% year on year through its current fiscal year.

“We reaffirm CRDO as our Top Pick for 2026 and view this announcement positively given management’s continued execution with its AEC product offering and our underlying belief in the longevity of AECs,” wrote Needham & Co. analyst Quinn Bolton, who has a $220 price target on the shares. “At the Needham Growth Conference, management stated that they believe the industry is still in the early innings of the AEC adoption curve, pointing to only one customer that has fully deployed AECs across potential use cases (front-end networks, scale-out networks and switch racks) and stated that visibility continues to be strong over the next twelve months and beyond.”

Bolton boosted his sales outlook for Credo’s next fiscal year and the one after that following this news.

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