Markets
markets
Luke Kawa

Will crypto keep coining money?

I am not a bitcoin maxi; I have not had fun staying poor.

But crypto generally, and bitcoin specifically, sits at a busy intersection that includes government policy, retail enthusiasm, and growing institutional adoption.

The rise of crypto has clearly extended its influence beyond the asset class as narrowly defined, and it’s become more entrenched in the traditional financial system and publicly traded securities. Most famously MicroStrategy — but also Tesla, MARA Holdings, Hut 8, and reAlpha Tech — are treating cryptocurrencies as a kind of  “reserve asset” for their firms.

Barclays analysts have argued that Tesla, a trillion-dollar company, is now best compared to cryptocurrencies. For 2024 as a whole, the stock’s daily moves have been roughly as correlated with bitcoin as they are with the fluctuations of its Magnificent 7 counterparts. And crypto played a not insignificant role in facilitating the change in stock-market leadership within tech from semiconductors to software after the US election.

Simply, bitcoin is as good a barometer as any for assessing optimism surrounding the incoming Trump administration in the financial realm, and the willingness of individuals as well as institutions to embrace risk. It’s a one-stop shop for assessing the vibes: you could monitor trading and options activity across a host of speculative pockets of the stock market, or just look at this preeminent crypto instead.

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Nia Warfield, Luke Kawa
9/26/25
US stocks end a down week with a gain

An up day but a down week for the benchmark US stock index.

Cowboy Riding Bucking Steer
markets
Luke Kawa

Crocs rises on new marketing campaign for HeyDude brand starring Sydney Sweeney


Sydney Sweeney has great... feet?

Shares of Crocs are rising after the footwear company’s HeyDude brand unveiled a new marketing effort starring actress Sydney Sweeney for its Austin Lift shoe line.

Sweeney’s controversial ad campaign for American Eagle spurred a massive jump in the denim maker’s shares, caught the attention of the president, and prompted “an uptick in customer awareness, engagement, and comparable sales,” per American Eagle’s management.

Sweeney was first announced as HeyDude’s global spokesperson in August 2024, and doesn’t seem to have given the brand a major boost so far.

Max Knoblauch
9/26/25

Ford and GM reach 52-week highs as EPA seeks to repeal emissions rules

Shares of Ford and GM are each trading at 52-week highs on Friday, as investors pile into gas-powered US automakers with the looming end of the EV tax credit and the Trump administration’s potential repeal of vehicle emissions standards.

A lobby representing Ford, GM, and nearly all other major automakers has expressed support for the EPA’s proposal to repeal the long-standing endangerment finding that declared greenhouse gases a threat to human life. The finding provides the legal foundation for the EPA to regulate vehicle emissions.

Yesterday, EV giant Tesla urged the Trump administration to keep the standards in place.

Friday afternoon saw Ford shares reach their highest level since July 2024, while GM’s stock hit highs not seen since January 2022.

Citi equity analysts on the key valuation issue facing the market.

Citi’s US market analyst on the key valuation test facing the market

“It kind of comes down to, what inning do you think we are in this AI game?”

Matt Phillips9/26/25
markets
Luke Kawa

GameStop surges as company offers promotions to boost launch of “Pokémon” Mega Evolution set

GameStop is jumping as the company offers promotions to boost interest for today’s North American launch of the Mega Evolution set of the “Pokémon Trading Card Game.”

Options activity is a little more tilted to the bull side than usual. Over the past month, a little less than four calls have changed hands for every put option. As of 10:22 a.m. ET, that ratio is over five to one.

It’s a big day for collectibles fans and gamers alike: beyond the “Pokémon TCG” drop, there are also new collections from “Yu-Gi-Oh!” and “Magic: The Gathering” being released and “EA SPORTS FC 26,” as well.

As we’ve written, “Pokémon” trading cards have been skyrocketing in value, and GameStop’s collectibles business has been accelerating. These are two sides of the same coin.

Mega Gardevoir... here I come!

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