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War of apptrition

Data shows most new apps don’t just fail — they completely bomb

A new report shows that more than 80% of apps never reach $1,000 in monthly revenue in the first two years after launching.

Millie Giles

These days, you can’t do anything without signing up for something — with everything from (naturally) streaming services, to news sites, to chatbots, to airlines, to pet suppliers now operating on subscription models.

Luckily for Apple and Google, which take a cut of in-app payments through their respective app stores, many of those subscriptions now start through our phones.

But in the increasingly competitive battle for space on our precious home screens, most apps never even come close to getting enough subscribers to cover their costs.

According to the 2025 State Of Subscription Apps report from RevenueCat, published last week, just a handful of apps now dominate a huge share of users’ screen time. According to the research, the top 5% of newly launched apps make over 400x more in their first two years (~$8,888) than the bottom 25% (~$19). 

The report also outlined that only 19% of new apps across all categories generated $1,000 in monthly recurring revenue within two years of launch, implying that 81% failed to hit that threshold. After this, the drop-off is steep, with a large portion of apps failing to meet each consecutive monetary milestone. At the upper end, only 5% of all new apps reached $10,000 in revenue.

Mobile apps subscription models
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Clearly, subscriptions alone are no longer enough for many newly launched apps to survive on. Now, hybrid monetization structures are becoming more common, with 35% of apps overall mixing subscriptions with consumable or lifetime purchases — including ~62% of Gaming apps and ~40% of Social & Lifestyle apps — to fuel revenue growth from both new and loyal app users.

App-eat-app world

Different types of apps also have very different subscription strategies. Health & Fitness apps were uniquely focused on yearly plans, with 66.6% of app subscriptions sold on an annual basis. Clearly, developers in the health arena are hoping that users have enough motivation to instill good habits to commit to an entire year. Gaming apps were the opposite: just 5.7% of subscriptions sold were for an annual plan, while weekly plans dominated, comprising 78% of subscriptions sold in the category.

Overall, of the categories surveyed, Photo & Video apps were the most successful in generating revenue, with ~28% of these newly released apps reaching $1,000 and ~9% reaching $10,000 in their first two years.

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Jon Keegan

OpenAI reportedly poaching key Apple designers, using Apple manufacturing partners for AI gadgets

New details are emerging about the mysterious AI gadgets being designed by former Apple design chief Jony Ive since OpenAI purchased his startup “io” in May.

According to a report by The Information, Ive’s team has recruited several key Apple design and hardware employees to work on the gadgets. The Information reported some details of the devices:

“One of the products OpenAI has talked to suppliers about making resembles a smart speaker without a display, the people said. OpenAI has also considered building glasses, a digital voice recorder and a wearable pin, and is targeting late 2026 or early 2027 for the release of its first devices, one of the people said.”

OpenAI is also turning to Apple’s Chinese manufacturing partners to build the products, having signed contracts with Luxshare, and has been in talks with Goertek, per the report.

“One of the products OpenAI has talked to suppliers about making resembles a smart speaker without a display, the people said. OpenAI has also considered building glasses, a digital voice recorder and a wearable pin, and is targeting late 2026 or early 2027 for the release of its first devices, one of the people said.”

OpenAI is also turning to Apple’s Chinese manufacturing partners to build the products, having signed contracts with Luxshare, and has been in talks with Goertek, per the report.

Mark Zuckerberg at Meta Connect 2025

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Rani Molla

Zuckerberg: AI might be a bubble but “misspending a couple of hundred billion” is worth it to achieve superintelligence

“It’s quite possible” that AI is a bubble, Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg told tech journalist Alex Heath, formerly of The Verge, on his new podcast, “Access,” and for his newsletter, Sources. That isn’t stopping Zuckerberg’s social media company from going all in on AI in hopes of achieving superintelligence, aka AI that’s smarter than humans.

“If we end up misspending a couple of hundred billion dollars, I think that that is going to be very unfortunate, obviously,” said Zuckerberg, who’s shelling out $600 billion on US data centers and infrastructure through 2028. “But what I’d say is I actually think the risk is higher on the other side.”

“The risk, at least for a company like Meta, is probably in not being aggressive enough rather than being somewhat too aggressive,” he added.

“If we end up misspending a couple of hundred billion dollars, I think that that is going to be very unfortunate, obviously,” said Zuckerberg, who’s shelling out $600 billion on US data centers and infrastructure through 2028. “But what I’d say is I actually think the risk is higher on the other side.”

“The risk, at least for a company like Meta, is probably in not being aggressive enough rather than being somewhat too aggressive,” he added.

tech
Rani Molla

Grok has 64 million monthly users while ChatGPT has 700 million weekly users

Daddy, it seems, is very much not home.

CEO Elon Musk spent the majority of his time at xAI this summer rather than at Tesla, where he recently claimed to have shifted his focus, The New York Times reports. The piece is full of other great details on his AI startup — read it all — but here are some notable tidbits from the story and from one of its reporters, Kate Conger, who shared extras on social media:

  • xAI’s Grok has 64 million monthly users, compared with OpenAI’s ChatGPT, which has about 700 million weekly users. Musk is currently suing OpenAI and Apple over what he says is unfavorable positioning on the iOS App Store.

  • Musk wanted Grok to be less woke and more popular, a command that led it to post antisemitic remarks and call itself “MechaHitler.”

  • Musk plans on building a Microsoft competitor called “Macrohard,” something he said he’s painting on the roof of xAI’s new Memphis data center.

  • xAI’s execs said after Grok 4, the next model will be called Grok 420.

UPDATE (September 19): Corrected headline of piece to reflect ChatGPT has 700 million weekly users, not daily.

  • xAI’s Grok has 64 million monthly users, compared with OpenAI’s ChatGPT, which has about 700 million weekly users. Musk is currently suing OpenAI and Apple over what he says is unfavorable positioning on the iOS App Store.

  • Musk wanted Grok to be less woke and more popular, a command that led it to post antisemitic remarks and call itself “MechaHitler.”

  • Musk plans on building a Microsoft competitor called “Macrohard,” something he said he’s painting on the roof of xAI’s new Memphis data center.

  • xAI’s execs said after Grok 4, the next model will be called Grok 420.

UPDATE (September 19): Corrected headline of piece to reflect ChatGPT has 700 million weekly users, not daily.

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