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Stargate I in Abilene, Texas.
Stargate I in Abilene, Texas (OpenAI)

Rising ambitions and skyrocketing costs: Here’s what we know about Project Stargate

As the number of gigawatts and GPUs grows, so do the questions about how the massive data center project will be paid for.

As tech giants like Meta, xAI, Microsoft, and Amazon race to build colossal AI data centers, one massive undertaking stands apart from the rest in its ambitious goals: Project Stargate.

In the eight months since Stargate was announced — backed by partners OpenAI, Oracle, SoftBank, and Nvidia, which have pledged hundreds of billions toward it — the scale and ambition of the project have grown.

Still, details are scant and questions have arisen about how the companies involved will raise the eye-popping amounts of capital needed for the pricey data centers described in the plan. 

A time lapse of Stargate I construction, in Abilene, Texas. Imagery from April 26, 2024, to September 29, 2025 (Copernicus)

Let’s dive into the details of what we know about Stargate’s plans in the US, and look at the questions that remain unanswered. 

“Project Ludicrous”

In January 2025, on the first full day of his second term, President Trump announced the largest “AI infrastructure project, by far, in history” standing alongside SoftBank founder and CEO Masayoshi Son, Oracle founder and CTO Larry Ellison, and OpenAI cofounder and CEO Sam Altman.

Trump described Project Stargate as a new American company that will be investing $500 billion in the US and creating over 100,000 jobs “almost immediately.” The plan was audacious and at a scale without precedent. 

Ellison, Son, and Altman spilled some details: 

  • The first site was a massive data center already under construction in Abilene, Texas.

  • The project consisted of 10 sites, and each building would be 500,000 square feet.

  • The plan would expand to 20 sites.

  • Son said SoftBank would invest $100 billion “immediately,” and the remaining $400 billion over four years.

While plans were being developed, the effort went by the code name “Project Ludicrous.”

OpenAI’s initial press release identified the equity partners in Stargate as SoftBank, OpenAI, Oracle, and MGX — United Arab Emirates’ state-owned investment fund. Arm, Microsoft, and Nvidia were listed as technology partners. 

Stargate I, the first site of the project, will reportedly cost about $12 billion to build. That’s not counting the 64,000 Nvidia GB200 GPUs that will fill the data center, totaling 1.2 gigawatts of computing power, the cost of which is in the tens of billions.  

After the January announcement, we didn’t hear much about the project until March, when Bloomberg reported that SoftBank was seeking a $16.5 billion bridge loan for it — the largest dollar-based loan that the company has taken on, resulting in two ratings agencies warning about it creating potential financial strains. 

In May, Bloomberg reported that SoftBank’s initial $100 billion investment had yet to materialize, even though it was supposed to happen “immediately,” and that the company had yet to formalize details of the financing. April’s trade chaos and the shocking effects of DeepSeek’s R1 model spooked investors, complicating SoftBank’s fundraising efforts. 

4.5, 7, 10 gigawatts

In July, the companies gave an update on the project and announced an expansion. Oracle and OpenAI outlined an agreement to develop an additional 4.5 gigawatts of capacity in US data centers under the Stargate umbrella, expanding upon the original 1.2 gigawatts planned for Stargate I. OpenAI said parts of the Stargate I facility were up and running and that deliveries of the first of 2 million Nvidia GPUs had arrived.  

A flurry of eye-popping AI infrastructure deals between Stargate partners followed.

In September, when Oracle announced its first-quarter earnings, shares rocketed up 30% when the company announced it had “remaining performance obligations” — signed deals that were backlogged — that were “likely to exceed half-a-trillion dollars.” The next day it was reported that part of that backlog was a huge deal with OpenAI.

OpenAI had signed an agreement with Oracle to buy $300 billion worth of cloud computing from the database giant over five years. But the deal raised serious questions about how exactly OpenAI is going to find this money, as it currently expects to burn $115 billion through 2029.

A few weeks later, Stargate partners OpenAI and Nvidia announced that they had signed a “letter of intent” for a strategic partnership. The blockbuster agreement consisted of a $100 billion investment in OpenAI by Nvidia to build and deploy “at least 10 gigawatts” of AI data centers, filled with Nvidia’s next-gen Vera Rubin chips. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang told CNBC that 10 gigawatts’ worth of computing power means “roughly 4 million, 5 million GPUs,” which he said was twice the amount that the company shipped last year. Nvidia’s $100 billion investment would be spread out in $10 billion payments, as each gigawatt of capacity was deployed. 

According to a report by Reuters, the unusual agreement gave Nvidia nonvoting shares in OpenAI, and OpenAI would then use that capital to pay Nvidia for its chips, raising concerns of a “circular deal,” which industry observers fear might be a harbinger of a massive AI bubble.

While the announcement did not specifically say that the deal was part of Stargate, Nvidia is the supplier of the AI and networking hardware for the project, and given the massive scale, it is sure to overlap with Stargate.

Power-hungry

OpenAI appears to be pulling in substantial revenue, but it’s also burning cash at an alarming rate. The Information reports that the company expects to end the year with $13 billion in revenue, while burning $8.5 billion in cash. The company has some extremely optimistic projections for growth, which it hopes will lead to AGI and hopefully a viable business model along the way. (OpenAI didn’t respond to a request for comment.)

Even 10 gigawatts of computing power might not be enough for Altman, who wants much, much more than that. According to The Information, Altman has said internally that he wants 250 gigawatts by 2033 (which could cost up to $12.5 trillion). 

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Rather than fully cracking down on scam ads, Meta worked to make them harder to find

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Fearing that Japanese regulators would require universal advertiser verification — a measure Meta estimated would cost roughly $2 billion to implement and potentially reduce its revenue by nearly 5% — the company took steps to make scam ads less “discoverable” to “regulators, investigators and journalists,” according to internal documents reviewed by Reuters.

“So successful was the search-result cleanup that Meta, the documents show, added the tactic to a ‘general global playbook’ it has deployed against regulatory scrutiny in other markets, including the United States, Europe, India, Australia, Brazil and Thailand,” Reuters wrote.

Previous Reuters reporting found Meta internally projected that about 10% of its 2024 revenue would come from ads tied to scams and banned goods, though the company later said that estimate was overly broad. Reuters also reported the rate was double in China.

“So successful was the search-result cleanup that Meta, the documents show, added the tactic to a ‘general global playbook’ it has deployed against regulatory scrutiny in other markets, including the United States, Europe, India, Australia, Brazil and Thailand,” Reuters wrote.

Previous Reuters reporting found Meta internally projected that about 10% of its 2024 revenue would come from ads tied to scams and banned goods, though the company later said that estimate was overly broad. Reuters also reported the rate was double in China.

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Michael Burry, the “Big Short” investor who called Tesla “ridiculously overvalued,” is not currently shorting Tesla

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Asked directly whether he would short Tesla now, Burry replied simply: “I am not short.”

Tesla is expected to report a double-digit decline in fourth-quarter deliveries this week.

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However, longtime partner Microsoft retains substantial influence over OpenAI with its roughly $13 billion investment, which translates to a stake worth about 27% of the startup’s valuation — which has been cited as high as $830 billion — as well as exclusive cloud and commercial licensing rights tied to Azure.

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The market-implied odds derived from event contracts show that most traders think Tesla deliveries will be more than 410,000 but less than 420,000 in the quarter ending December.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

While Tesla typically shares its compilation of analyst estimates with institutional investors, this is the first time the company has shared those numbers on its own website. Tesla’s numbers include estimates from Daiwa, DB, Wedbush, OpCo, Canaccord, Baird, Wolfe, Exane, GS, RBC, Evercore ISI, Barclays, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley, UBS, Jefferies, Needham & Co., HSBC, Cantor Fitzgerald, and William Blair.

Actual numbers are expected Friday.

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Cybertruck battery material supplier writes down Tesla deal by 99%

South Korea’s L&F Co., a supplier of battery material for Tesla’s “apocalypse-proof” Cybertruck, has written down the value of its Tesla contract by more than 99%, Bloomberg reports — another sign that Cybertruck sales are faltering.

The company cited changes in supply quantities, slashing a contract valued at nearly $3 billion in 2023 to about $7,000 now.

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