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Meta’s all-star “Superintelligence” team takes shape
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AIntelligence

Meta’s “superintelligence” AI team appears to be largely made up of OpenAI, and has their work cut out for them

Meta’s path to AI domination seems to be paved with other AI companies and their talent.

Rani Molla, Jon Keegan

Meta’s plan to rival OpenAI seems to be largely dependent on OpenAI itself.

The social media company has been assembling a “superintelligence” team to boost its AI chops, help it reach AGI, and allow it to keep dominating advertising. To furnish that team, this month Meta has tried to poach more than 45 AI researchers from OpenAI alone, The New York Times reports, offering starting packages as high as $100 million apiece. Already the social media behemoth has hired at least four OpenAI researchers, including Trapit Bansal, as well as Lucas Beyer, Alexander Kolesnikov, and Xiaohua Zhai.

“At least, so far, none of our best people have decided to take them up on that,” OpenAI CEO Sam Altman had said earlier this month.

The Verge reports that at an internal all-hands meeting held this week at Meta, its employees had questions about these reported $100 million offers that Altman had described on a podcast, which executives tried to play down:

“Sam is just being dishonest here,” Andrew Bosworth, Meta’s CTO, said at the meeting when asked about Altman’s remarks. “He’s suggesting that we’re doing this for every single person… Look, you guys, the market’s hot. It’s not that hot.”

Meta leadership has even floated “de-investing” from Meta’s Llama and instead embracing AI models from competitors including OpenAI, according to NYT, though they haven’t made any final decisions yet.

Meta, of course, has been using its deep pockets to get non-OpenAI talent. That includes its $14 billion investment in Scale AI and its founder, Alexandr Wang, and hiring people from companies like Google, Sesame, and Safe Superintelligence.

Meta is also talking with AI voice startup PlayAI for a potential company and talent acquisition.

Low-engagement Llama?

Meta has boasted publicly about having 1 billion Meta AI users — the magic number it waits to hit before monetizing new products. The company has been spreading its AI all over its products, and only released a stand-alone “Meta AI” app a few months ago. But new details emerging from Meta executives raise some red flags about how many people are actually using it.

According to a report from The Verge on this week’s all-hands meeting at Meta, it may be less than they are saying publicly:

“Bosworth wasn’t the only Meta exec to mention OpenAI during the internal meeting. CPO Chris Cox also acknowledged that, while Meta AI has one billion monthly users, engagement ‘is not nearly as deep as the way that people are using ChatGPT.’ The standalone Meta AI app has only 450,000 daily users, he told employees, and ‘a lot of those folks’ are using it to manage their Ray-Ban Meta glasses.”

Cox also reportedly said at the meeting that they weren’t chasing AI-powered productivity tools like Google, Anthropic, and OpenAI, but would focus on “entertainment, on connection with friends, on how people live their lives, on all of the things that we uniquely do well.”

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Rani Molla

Rather than fully cracking down on scam ads, Meta worked to make them harder to find

In its latest piece on Meta’s scam ads, Reuters found that the social media giant didn’t just remove fraudulent ads from its platforms — it also worked to make them harder for governments and journalists to find.

Fearing that Japanese regulators would require universal advertiser verification — a measure Meta estimated would cost roughly $2 billion to implement and potentially reduce its revenue by nearly 5% — the company took steps to make scam ads less “discoverable” to “regulators, investigators and journalists,” according to internal documents reviewed by Reuters.

“So successful was the search-result cleanup that Meta, the documents show, added the tactic to a ‘general global playbook’ it has deployed against regulatory scrutiny in other markets, including the United States, Europe, India, Australia, Brazil and Thailand,” Reuters wrote.

Previous Reuters reporting found Meta internally projected that about 10% of its 2024 revenue would come from ads tied to scams and banned goods, though the company later said that estimate was overly broad. Reuters also reported the rate was double in China.

“So successful was the search-result cleanup that Meta, the documents show, added the tactic to a ‘general global playbook’ it has deployed against regulatory scrutiny in other markets, including the United States, Europe, India, Australia, Brazil and Thailand,” Reuters wrote.

Previous Reuters reporting found Meta internally projected that about 10% of its 2024 revenue would come from ads tied to scams and banned goods, though the company later said that estimate was overly broad. Reuters also reported the rate was double in China.

tech
Rani Molla

Michael Burry, the “Big Short” investor who called Tesla “ridiculously overvalued,” is not currently shorting Tesla

Earlier this month, “The Big Short” investor Michael Burry said Tesla has been “ridiculously overvalued” for “a good long time” — and reiterated that message in a post on X on Tuesday. But the once prominent Tesla short seller isn’t currently betting against the stock.

Asked directly whether he would short Tesla now, Burry replied simply: “I am not short.”

Tesla is expected to report a double-digit decline in fourth-quarter deliveries this week.

tech
Rani Molla

SoftBank becomes OpenAI’s biggest backer after fully funding $40 billion investment

SoftBank has fully funded its $40 billion investment in OpenAI, overtaking Microsoft as the company’s largest financial backer, CNBC reports. The deal was contingent on OpenAI transitioning to a for-profit public benefit corporation, which it did in September.

However, longtime partner Microsoft retains substantial influence over OpenAI with its roughly $13 billion investment, which translates to a stake worth about 27% of the startup’s valuation — which has been cited as high as $830 billion — as well as exclusive cloud and commercial licensing rights tied to Azure.

tech
Rani Molla

Tesla-compiled estimates show Q4 deliveries expected to fall 15% from last year

A Tesla-compiled average of analyst estimates pegs fourth-quarter deliveries at 422,850, which would mark a 15% slump from the 495,570 the company delivered in the same quarter last year, if realized. The full-year estimate of 1.6 million vehicles would represent an 8% decline from 2024 and the second annual decline for the EV company. The estimates are notably lower than the consensus estimates compiled by Bloomberg and FactSet, which have been declining over the past month.

The market-implied odds derived from event contracts show that most traders think Tesla deliveries will be more than 410,000 but less than 420,000 in the quarter ending December.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

While Tesla typically shares its compilation of analyst estimates with institutional investors, this is the first time the company has shared those numbers on its own website. Tesla’s numbers include estimates from Daiwa, DB, Wedbush, OpCo, Canaccord, Baird, Wolfe, Exane, GS, RBC, Evercore ISI, Barclays, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley, UBS, Jefferies, Needham & Co., HSBC, Cantor Fitzgerald, and William Blair.

Actual numbers are expected Friday.

tech
Rani Molla

Cybertruck battery material supplier writes down Tesla deal by 99%

South Korea’s L&F Co., a supplier of battery material for Tesla’s “apocalypse-proof” Cybertruck, has written down the value of its Tesla contract by more than 99%, Bloomberg reports — another sign that Cybertruck sales are faltering.

The company cited changes in supply quantities, slashing a contract valued at nearly $3 billion in 2023 to about $7,000 now.

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